Free NBA Picks: Thursday Night Value Plays

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, February 21, 2013 2:04 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 21, 2013 2:04 PM GMT

With only two games scheduled tonight, where do we believe that bettors can find the best value with their NBA picks?

Swinging Johnson - NBA Record (2-3, -5.8 units)

*Games assigned 1 to 5 units.

Update:

We snapped our little three game skid by adding a two unit play on the Cavaliers over the Hornets to our NBA picks last night. It was a bit of a see-saw battle but we're glad we wound up on the right side of the odds in a 105-100 victory.

Now on to tonight's action where we are sharing our free picks for each of the evening's matchups.

Miami Heat (37-14 SU, 27-24 ATS) vs. Chicago Bulls (31-22 SU, 23-29-1 ATS)

The Miami Heat are determined to put plenty of daylight between themselves and the rest of the Eastern Conference. They are currently in the midst of an eight-game winning streak with their most recent victory occurring last night at the expense of the Atlanta Hawks in a 103-90 decision. During this streak the Heat have averaged over 107 points per game and are shooting north of 51% from the floor.

If you're a fan of the Bulls then you're probably not thrilled with their 3-5 record in February but if you've been betting the Bulls then the 5-3 mark against the NBA odds this month has put a little jingle in your jangle. On Tuesday night they notched a 96-87 road win over the Hornets and return home where they have dominated the Heat during the regular season in their own building, winning nine of the last 11 contests.

Read Jordan Sharp's NBA Picks: Heat vs. Bulls for a free play on this game's total.

While I'm not thrilled about the way Chicago has played recently, getting blown out by top tier teams Denver (128-96) on the road and San Antonio (103-89) at home, there is no avoiding the fact that Chicago always plays well against Miami, particularly at home.

Free NBA Picks: Play Chicago + 3 ½ for 2 units at Legends.

[gameodds]5/218959/43/us[/gameodds]

San Antonio Spurs (43-12 SU, 30-23-2 ATS) vs. LA Clippers (39-17 SU, 31-25 ATS)

Both teams come into tonight's game riding a four-game winning streak but the Clips have had the advantage of resting since the All-Star break which makes them one of the last teams to have to go back to work while the Spurs have already begun the second half of their season by securing a 108-102 victory over the Kings on Tuesday night.

Tony Parker has been phenomenal this season for the Spurs but has historically struggled against the Clippers. He went only 2-of-7 and scored only four points in a 106-84 blowout loss to the Clippers last time they met at the Staples Center on November 7th of 2012. He wasn't much better a few weeks later when he notched 11 points in a 92-87 home defeat.

Chris Paul has been the straw that stirs the drink for the Clippers after missing nine consecutive games with a bruised knee. Averaging 20 points and shooting 60% from the floor in his four games before the break he then went on to win MVP honors at the All-Star game.

As well as the Spurs have played on the road this season, 21-10 away from the AT&T Center, they don't match up well against the Clippers. LA has a big advantage on the boards, averaging over 13 more boards per game in their first two meetings this season. As good as Chris Paul has been, Blake Griffin has had monster games as well against San Antonio. The Clips are averaging 110 points per game and hitting over 52% from the floor in their last four games. Let's just hope they are well rested after a seven day sabbatical rather than rusty.

Capper Joe Freda has already posted his NBA picks in favor of a Spurs cover tonight. Not only am I going to go against him, but I am wiling to back the CLippers as a 4 unit play. The NBA odds makers have put the Clippers in the role of the favorite tonight and with good reason.

Free NBA Picks: Play the LA Clippers -3 for 4 units at Bookmaker.

[gameodds]5/218960/43/us[/gameodds]

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