Free NBA Picks: Thursday Night Teaser

Steven Suarez

Thursday, March 7, 2013 4:09 PM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 7, 2013 4:09 PM GMT

We've got two great games in store for us tonight, and inside you'll find a teaser play that we think holds good NBA betting value.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks

The first game of the night pits the Thunder against the Knicks inside what's sure to be an electrifying Madison Square Garden.

Opening NBA odds have New York getting seven points on their own floor, while the total has hit the trading market at 206.5.

The Knicks have gone 21-9 SU and 15-15 ATS at home, while the Thunder are 17-12 SU and 14-13-2 ATS in road games this season. Oklahoma City has however covered the spread in only two of their past seven away from home.

These teams have not met yet this season, but the home team in the series has gone 6-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings. As for a possible play on the total, the UNDER is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head matchups.

The Thunder have rebounded after a three-game losing streak last month to win five of six, with the only defeat coming at the hands of Denver. Oklahoma City beat both L.A. teams in consecutive games, topping things off with a dominant 122-105 win over the Lakers.

It's been a good couple weeks for the Knicks as well. They've also won five of six, with their loss coming at home to Miami in a game they looked like they had wrapped up.

The key to the run for New York has been better defensive performances – they've allowed just 93.2 points per game over their previous five. Plus, Carmelo Anthony's absence didn't slow them down whatsoever last night, with the star forward currently listed as questionable for tonight.

L.A. Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets

The Clippers will enter the Pepsi Center as 4.5-point underdogs, while most online sportsbooks have posted an O/U as high as 213.

Not only have the Nuggets lost just three times at home this season, they've gone a fantastic 20-9 ATS as well. They've cashed in seven of their last eight in their building and are 5-0-1 ATS over their previous six overall.

George Karl has his guys playing at a very high level – the Nuggets have won six straight, a run that includes wins over Oklahoma City, Atlanta and the L.A. Lakers. They also haven't lost at home since January 18th.

The Clippers have been doing work in the ATS arena too, going 5-1 ATS over their last six overall and a perfect 5-0 ATS in their five most recent road contests. Can they keep that streak going against one of the best home-court advantages tonight?

The season series is tied up at one apiece, with the Clippers winning 112-100 at home in December and the Nuggets getting a 92-78 victory in Denver during the month of January.

A play on the total may be worth your while, and if you are looking at that option closely, consider the fact that the OVER is 21-6 in Denver's last 27 games overall and has also hit in eight of L.A.'s past ten when playing on no days of rest.

All that said though, we do think that the best options for our NBA picks is to expect a Nuggets win here. Ty Lawson is playing out of this world and has the quickness to keep up with Chris Paul, while Denver is one of the few teams in the league that can match L.A's depth.

4.5-Point Teaser Play: New York Knicks +11.5 & Denver Nuggets PK

We like what we've seen out of the Knicks recently and we see them at least batting with KD and the Thunder at home. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, who have been almost unbeatable in Denver this season, should be able to stamp out a win over CP3 and the Clippers.

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