Free NBA Picks: Thunder vs. Spurs

Joe Freda

Monday, March 11, 2013 1:40 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 11, 2013 1:40 PM GMT

Will the Thunder keep roaring or will San Antonio get the cover as a short fave? Let our free NBA picks help you upset the bookies tonight.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have cashed with a 7-2 spread record in their last nine matchups, putting up 109.2 PPG in that span. Monday’s NBA slate sends Scott Brooks’ squad south to meet the San Antonio Spurs, who are 3-1 ATS in the last four dates of their present homestand.

Thunder, Durant surge past Celtics

Oklahoma City picked up a fifth straight win in Sunday’s 91-79 triumph over the Boston Celtics, pulling away as an 11-point home favorite. Thunder forward Kevin Durant notched his first double-double in five games, finishing with 23 points and 11 boards.

Durant hit a perfect 11-of-11 free throws, while uniting with mate Kendrick Perkins for nine assists. Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook logged two of his side’s nine steals, hitting 5-of-11 floor shots en route to 15 points.

The battle’s combined 170 points plunged below the ‘total’ of 199, moving the UNDER to 5-3 in OKC’s last eight games. Serge Ibaka recorded a pair of blocks for the Thunder, while he and his squad held Boston to 37.7 percent field shooting.

Spurs, Duncan thrashed at home

San Antonio saw a three-game winning streak end with Friday’s 136-106 setback against the Portland Trail Blazers, upset as 11 ½-point home ‘chalk.’  The Spurs were outscored in the second half, 79-49, while allowing Portland to connect at a 12-for-21 clip from three-point land.

Spurs veteran Tim Duncan piled in team-highs of 18 points and eight rebounds, knocking down 8-of-14 floor buckets. San Antonio’s Cory Joseph and Boris Diaw logged two steals each, while mate Manu Ginobili finished with 16 points in 24 minutes off the bench. 

The matchup’s combined 242 points soared beyond the ‘total’ of 202, lifting the OVER to a 3-2 mark in the Spurs’ last five contests. San Antonio was outrebounded, 38-29, while shooting 52.4 percent from its floor.

Check out our NBA Picks of the Day for another take on this matchup.

[gameodds]5/220889/169/us[/gameodds]

Back the Spurs as home ‘chalk’

The NBA odds makers at 5Dimes.eu opened San Antonio as a 2 ½-point home favorite, while first posting the ‘total’ at 208. Early betting action on OKC and the UNDER drove the digits south to two and 207 ½, respectively.

For tonight's NBA picks, I am laying the short number here with the Spurs, looking for Gregg Popovich’s squad to bounce back. San Antonio is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 spots that followed a defeat of more than 10 points, while logging a 5-1 spread record in their move recent six matchups against clubs with winning records.

San Antonio has been without guard Tony Parker, but has still come up with a 2-1 ATS mark in the trio of affairs since the veteran’s ankle injury. Spurs center Tiago Splitter ranks as the Western Conference’s second best shooter (59.2 percent), just behind Clippers big man DeAndre Jordan (61.4 percent).

Oklahoma City was held to 84 points in November’s most recent trip to AT&T Center, logging 18 turnovers. San Antonio outscored the Thunder in the paint, 44-24, as part of that affair, while the home team has hone 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven battles between these foes.

Look for the Spurs to get the cover on their floor at a low premium, adding to their 12-3 spread record over the last 15 spots for Duncan and Co. with two days of rest.

NBA Pick:  San Antonio Spurs -2 (5Dimes.eu)

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