Free NBA Picks of the Day for Thursday 11/6

David Lawrence

Thursday, November 6, 2014 3:14 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 6, 2014 3:14 PM GMT

The NBA season is just about one week old. Teams are trying to get into the flow of the season… unless they’re the Houston Rockets, who have already accomplished that goal. They’re a four-point favorite on the NBA betting lines for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets
This is a very interesting game because the Rockets beat the Spurs the first few times the two teams played last season. San Antonio had problems defending Houston’s quickness at all five spots on the floor. The Rockets swept the season series between the teams in the 2013-2014 NBA journey, four games to none. The Rockets won twice in San Antonio from Thanksgiving through Christmas. No win was by fewer than six points, and one came by 13 in San Antonio. The Rockets had the Spurs’ number, and San Antonio had to consider itself fortunate that it avoided Houston in the playoffs.

What, if anything, will be different this season? Houston loses Chandler Parsons (to Dallas) and gets Trevor Ariza (from Washington). The Rockets figured to be a less potent team without Parsons, but their superstars, James Harden and Dwight Howard, have been right on top of things this season, with Harden averaging 27.2 points and 7.4 assists per game, while Howard has averaged 17.2 points and nearly 11 rebounds per game. With the leaders getting the job done, the role players can snugly fill in some of the gaps and do what they need to do to provide support. No one’s being overextended. This is a team in balance.

Yet, as good as the Rockets have been, you have to think that they’re going to cool off at some point, while San Antonio will heat up. This is the law of averages at work, and San Antonio has played only three games this season. The Spurs should benefit from playing their second game in two days. Houston might not match up as well with the Spurs this time. Take San Antonio with your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: San Antonio +4 at 5Dimes

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Mavericks, on Monday against the Boston Celtics, had a 25-point lead at home in the second quarter. They barely held on for a 118-113 victory. That’s the kind of thing which, for a veteran team, isn’t very good news, but then again, it’s a very long season. Players will get bored at times. That defensive collapse in the fourth quarter, which almost enabled Boston to win, could be a wake-up call for the Mavericks, a sign that they can’t coast through games and have to remain on task throughout the fourth quarter, at least until halfway through if they have a huge lead.

Portland has not yet found itself on offense. The Trail Blazers are averaging under 98 points per game. Last season, they averaged 106.7 points per game. Bettors might be impressed by Portland’s 19-point win over Cleveland on Tuesday, but the Cavaliers are just not a good team right now. The Blazers look overvalued here on the NBA odds. Dallas is the much better choice as a road dog.

NBA Pick: Dallas +2.5 at The Greek

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