Free NBA Picks: Mavericks Are No Threat for Clippers -7

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 11, 2015 4:23 PM GMT

We’re going to examine Wednesday’s NBA contest between the Clippers and Mavericks. Go inside to read out insightful betting preview article which concludes with a point spread pick.

Clippers in “Big D” on Wednesday
The Clippers and Mavericks will meet for the second time this season on Wednesday. The opening tip at the American Airlines Center in Dallas is slated for 8:05 PM ET. According to NBA odds at Pinnacle, the Clippers are currently (11:05 AM ET) a 7 point road favorite and the posted total is 212.5. These teams have gone 7-1 over the total during the past three seasons, and that includes 4-0 in games played at Dallas. As a matter of fact, the only game that went under during that sequence came in their only meeting this season. The Clippers defeated Dallas 104-88 at home on 10/29, and that game easily went under the total of 212.5.

***Shop Clippers vs Mavericks Props Here***

Underrated Defensively
The Clippers receive a lot of notoriety for their high flying act that’s been appropriately labeled “Dunk City”, and rightfully so. However, what flies under the radar, and with no pun intended, is their play on the defensive end of the floor. The Clippers are holding opponents to just 41.7% shooting from the field thus far, and that includes a paltry 30.2% from three point territory. They should match up extremely well tonight against Dallas. The Mavericks are converting on only 42.5% of their field goal attempts, and on a poor 30.5% of their three point tries. In their only meeting of this season, Dallas shot a miserable 36.1% from the field, and was a terrible 6-for-30 (20%) on three point attempts. Dallas is a bankroll draining 1-9 ATS the past two seasons, versus opponents that possess a defensive field goal percentage of 43.0% or less.

 

Not a Dangerous Dog
The Mavericks are coming off a 120-105 blowout loss last night at New Orleans. It marked the first win in seven tries this season for the Pelicans. The loss dropped Dallas to 3-4 on the season. Their three wins have come against opponents that are currently a combined 5-16 (.238). You may be surprised to know that Dallas is 10-22 ATS the past two seasons as an underdog, and that includes 1-3 ATS this year. When looking even further inside those numbers during that exact time frame, they’re an even worse 4-13 ATS as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5.

 

Final Analysis
Early wagering on this game has shown that the general public has sided with the sizable home underdog. In my professional opinion, this is one of those classic cases of perception versus reality. Dallas is still perceived as a successful team we’ve witness during the past decade or so. The reality is, they’re a far cry from where they once were, and will be hard pressed to be playing in any 2016 playoff games. I’m going with the road favorite for one of my NBA picks on Wednesday.

NBA Pick: Clippers -7 at Pinnacle

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