Free NBA Picks: Lay the Points & Go 'Over' on Warriors-Raptors Clash

Tuesday, November 17, 2015 7:27 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 17, 2015 7:27 PM UTC

Warriors are off and running this season heading into tonight's battle with Toronto. Can Golden State remain unbeaten? And more importantly, can it cover near-double-digits on the NBA odds?

<p style="text-align:center"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>Raptors-Warriors Betting Odds</b><br /> Most of Tuesday's <a href="" target="_blank" title="See Live NBA Odds Here">NBA odds</a> market opened Golden State at -9 over Toronto, with a total of right around 208. In the early betting most shops then bumped the Warriors a half-point, to -9.5. Anyone thinking the Raptors might pull the upset here could get a price of +450 <a href=";book=inarticlepinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Play &amp; Win at Pinnacle">at Pinnacle</a>.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>The Situation</b><br /> Toronto (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) just had a two-game winning streak snapped by a 107-101 loss at Sacramento Sunday night. The Raptors led that game by eight points with just under five minutes to go, but got outscored from there 16-2, going scoreless over the last three minutes, falling outright as a two-point road favorite.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in">On the night, Toronto shot 44 percent from the floor and hit 15 of 31 from beyond the arc, but allowed the Kings to shoot a hot 51 percent. Saturday the Raptors beat New Orleans 100-81, covering at -10, and just before that they won at Philly 119-103, covering at -9.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in">Golden State (11-0 SU, 7-4 ATS), meanwhile, is still undefeated on the season, following a 107-99 overtime victory over Brooklyn Saturday. However, the Warriors could not cover at -16.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in">Golden State actually trailed the Nets by double-digits early, eventually tied the game on a 3-pointer with six seconds left, survived a Nets in-bound play under the bucket at the regulation buzzer, then scored the first 10 points of the OT to take control.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in">On the night, the Warriors shot just 44 percent from the floor, a very poor performance for them, and committed 15 turnovers. Prior to that, though, Golden State had covered three spreads in a row, at -10 at Minnesota, -7 at Memphis and -12 over Detroit.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>Raptors-Warriors Recent Encounters</b><br /> Golden State has taken eight of the last 10 meetings with Toronto, including both games last season, by scores of 126-105 and 113-89. The Warriors covered that first meeting at -5, once leading by 23 points, and the second meeting at -2, once leading by 41.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in">Golden State also outshot the Raptors in those two games, combined by a 51-44 percent margin. Finally, while that first meeting played OVER a total of 217, the second meeting played UNDER 213.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Raptors-Warriors Prop Betting Directory"><b>Raptors-Warriors Totals Trends</b></a><br /> Both these teams are 7-4 on the UNDERS this season; Toronto games are averaging 199 total points, while Golden State games are averaging 212 points. Obviously, the Warriors have been playing against some higher totals than the Raptors.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>Injury Update</b><br /> Golden State G Klay Thompson (15 PPG) missed Saturday's game with a stiff back, but reports indicate he'll probably play tonight. Also, F Draymon Green (12 PPG, eight RPG) is said to be dealing with an illness, and is iffy for this game.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"> </p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>Raptors-Warriors</b><br /> Golden State didn't seem to have too much trouble with Toronto last season, winning two meetings by an average score of 120-97, and the Warriors will probably shoot a little better than they did the other night against Brooklyn, with Thompson back in action. So even while the spread on this game is probably a bucket too much, we'll go with Golden State on the side for our <a href="" target="_blank" title="See More Free NBA Picks Here">NBA picks</a> of the night. As for the total, we're thinking that, with a little help from some garbage time, this game should play OVER.</p> <p style="margin-bottom:0in"><b>Free NBA Picks: </b>Warriors -9.5 and OVER 208 <a href=";book=Heritage" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Discover a Great Sportsbook &amp; Start Betting Right Away">at Heritage</a></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src=";timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=93,1096,19,43,227,999996,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id=2830756" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
comment here