Free NBA Picks: Heat vs. Pacers

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, December 31, 2014 1:02 PM GMT

The Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat will square off in a matinee affair today, and we have the inside NBA betting scoop on this contest including a profitable NBA totals betting system.

Rematch of NBA Eastern Conference Finals
The Indiana Pacers will host the Miami Heat this afternoon with the opening tip slated for 3:05 PM ET. According to the NBA betting odds at Bookmaker, Indiana is a 4.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 188.5.These teams have met once this season and the Pacers were a 81-75 winner at Miami. Miami defeated Indiana during the 2014 NBA Eastern Conference Finals series in six games.

 

Turn on the Heat
The Miami Heat have really struggled in the month of December going a miserable 5-11, and failed to cover in 10 of those 16-games. Although it must be pointed out, the majority of their struggles have come at home. Miami has actually won the last 2, and 3 of their last 4-games on the road. As a matter of fact, the Heat just completed a 7-game home stand on Sunday which saw them go just 2-5. Miami has seen 21 of 30-games go over the total in the past two seasons when the total is 180.0 to 189.5, and that includes on four of the six occasions this year.

 

Pacers Recent Shooting Improved
The Indiana Pacers have averaged just 94.5 points per game and shot a subpar 43.1% from the field this season. However, during their previous 5-games, they’ve averaged 101.0 points per outing, and shot an impressive 49% from the field. The Pacers shot 50% or better in 4 of those 5-games, and the lone exception came in their previous outing versus the Chicago Bulls.

 

NBA Totals Betting System
The Miami Heat is coming off a 102-101 loss as a home favorite of 5.5 against the Orlando Magic in their previous game. The Indiana Pacers are coming off a 92-90 loss as a home underdog of 4.5 to the Chicago Bulls in their previous game. When combining those two results, in addition to the current total, it qualifies for a betting system which has been extremely effective, and one in which I’ll certainly utilize to make one of my NBA picks today.

Any home team (Indiana) with a total of 180.0 to 189.5, coming off a straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog,, versus an opponent (Miami) coming off a home favorite straight up loss, has seen the home team go over the total in 41 of those 57 (71.9%) games since 1996. The average total in those contests was 186.7, the average points scored was 193.6, and 60% of those games went over the total by 7.0 points or more. As a matter of fact, this system has come into play seven times during the past three seasons, and all of those games went over the total.

Free NBA Picks: Play on the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers to go over the total of 188.5 at Bookmaker