It’s another big night of NBA action on Friday, and with 22 teams in action, there are some nice NBA Odds values popping up. I have three of y best NBA Picks for you tonight, and after a 1-1 evening last night, let’s see if we can improve off the big card.
Wizards vs. Raptors
The Wizards are 4-1 and leading the Southeast division heading into Toronto to play the Raptors. Toronto is a -4 favorite in the NBA Odds, however instead of wagering on this close spread between two very good teams, the total instead looks like a safer and more valuable wager. At 195 points, it is a little too high for these adept defensive teams. While Toronto hasn’t shown their defense as much as the Wizards have at times this season, and even though they are giving up nearly 100 points per game, it’s still very early in the season.
The under is 4-1 in the last five games for the Raptors on one day rest, and 5-2 for the Wizards with the same one day off in between games. The under is also 4-1 for the Wizards on their last five Friday night games.
However most telling for this matchup may be that the Raptors have cashed the under in four of their last five games after giving up 100 or more points the game before. After playing poor defense against the Celtics on Wednesday, I expect a bounce back from the Raptors, making the 'the first of our free NBA picks.
My Pick: UNDER 195
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
The Thunder may be in danger of missing the playoffs this season if they can’t get some wins soon. They are 1-4 SU and have the undefeated Grizzlies coming to town. The NBA Odds have the Grizzlies as -6 ½ favorites with a total of 183 ½, and with the way Memphis is playing, I can’t see hoe you can’t like this spread. The Thunder not only are missing their two best players right now, but Perry Jones didn’t practice yesterday, and he has been one of the main sources of offense with the two stars out.
If Jones misses tonight’s game, which is likely since he didn’t practice, the Grizzlies seem like the best play here. Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall games dating back to the final two games of last season, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as road underdogs. The Grizzlies on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU win, and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games dating back to last year.
My Pick: Grizzlies -6 ½
Mavericks vs. Jazz
Dallas lost a tough game last night to the Blazers, and one night after getting blown out the Mavs are heading into Utah to play the Jazz. The NBA Odds have the Mavs as -2 ½ favorites on the road here, with a total of 206 points. The benefits of getting blown out are the stars for the Mavs didn’t see much court time. All the Mavs starters played far less than 30 minutes, and they should be rested to beat up on the Jazz tonight.
Utah is 0-3-3 ATS in their last six games on a Friday night, while the Mavs are the bounce back team of the last decade, going 44-14 ATS in their last 58 games following a SU loss. If you include their games from last year’s playoffs, even after getting blown out they are still 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
My Pick: Mavs -2 ½