It's never too early to start exploring where to place your NBA Picks. The Finals MVP Odds from Bovada are out are ready for action, but how many true choices do we have in the matter?
Stephen Curry (-190)
The young Chef has made a miraculous run to the NBA Finals this season, and all he has to do now to complete his histories season is beat the best player in the world. It sounds like a tall order, but if you look at the Cavs and how they got to the Finals, their path was much easier than young Mr. Curry’s. If the Warriors win the championship, there aren’t many other guys who could be considered for this award. Klay Thompson struggled when he had a capable defender on him in the Memphis series, and Iman Shumpert is going to present some issues for him. However with so much chalk on this award is it worth it? Curry’s performance so far in the postseason would say it is, and I tend to agree. With no one to defend him except an already bad defender in Kyrie Irving, Curry will surely lead this series, and likely win the award if the Dubs can beat Lebron.
Lebron James (+175)
Lebron James has been nothing short of fantastic in these playoffs. With the exception of his shooting percentages, which I go in depth on in another article on the site, he has carried this broken down Cavs team within four wins of one of the more amazing Finals runs ever. However this should be where the buck stops for James. The sportsbooks are smart. They know this series is not even, and by looking at the NBA Finals odds, it should be obvious that they agree with me that the Warriors will win this series. Running through the West and running through the East are two different stories, and if the Dubs were in the East somehow, they may have gotten 70+ wins this season. The lack of home court, and the lack of help around him could lead the Dubs to make this a quick series, so I am not going to recommend betting on Lebron to win Finals MVP.
The rest of the Finals MVP prop odds are interesting, but there are only a few guys I would even start to consider. Draymond Green is probably the most interesting. I am not interested in addidng Klay Thompson at +1100 as one of my NBA picks because he hasn’t shown much in the playoffs to begin with, but with Green, even though he will be defending James that might be enough for him to win t if he can pull out a 2-way performance like Kahwi Leonard did a season ago. Green is sitting at +1600 to win Finals MVP, which is behind both of the favorites, Thompson and Irving at+1200. Anther guy that might be in contention if the Cavs do something in this series is Tristan Thompson. He is a mismatch for everyone on the Warriors, and if he can average a double double and play good defense in this series, it might help his chances, but at +7500, he isn’t on my radar just yet.