Free NBA Picks: Capper Isolates Two Totals on Friday’s Card

Ross Benjamin

Friday, April 29, 2016 6:22 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 29, 2016 6:22 PM UTC

Our NBA handicapping professional enters Friday having gone 11-3 with his pick on all sports during the past six days. Go inside to find out what two NBA totals he’ll be wagering on today.

Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers
Toronto was a 102-99 winner on Wednesday during Game 5 of this series, but failed to cover as a 7.0 point home favorite. Toronto is 26-13 (66.7%) over the total this season following an ATS loss. On the other hand, Indiana is 9-1 over the total at home during the past two seasons, following a loss by 3 points or less in their previous game.

Current NBA betting odds at has a posted total of 193.5 on this contest. Indiana went 13-26 from three point range during its loss on Wednesday. The Pacers are averaging 85 field goal attempts per game this season. This statistical data fits precisely into a very profitable NBA totals betting system.

Any home team (Indiana) with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, averaging 83 or more field goal attempts per game, and they made 12 or more three point shots in their previous outing, resulted in those contests going 80-43 (65%) over the total since 1996. As a matter of fact, 70 of those 123 (55.6%) games went over the total by 7.0 points or more.

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Free NBA Pick: OVER 193.5 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

Must Read: Picks Of The Day As Teams Meet Playoffs Verge

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets 
The last three games of this series have all stayed under the total, and there was just a combined 176.0 points scored per game. During that time frame, Miami shot a poor 38.6%, and Charlotte wasn’t much better at 39.4%. These Southeast Division rivals have seen all six of their encounters played in Charlotte go under the total during the past two seasons. Those contests average a combined 177.0 points scored per game.

According to NBA betting odds at, Miami is a 2.0 point underdog, and the posted total is 193.0. Miami has gone under the total in all of its seven games this season as a road underdog of 4.0 or less. In fact, Miami has gone 18-6 (75%) under the total this season when installed as a road underdog.

Relative to the current total, I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my Friday NBA picks will concur with that prediction.

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Free NBA Pick: UNDER 193
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 

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