Free NBA Picks: Bulls & Wizards Will Keep Scores High Tonight

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, March 16, 2016 3:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 16, 2016 3:17 PM UTC

The banged up Bulls head into Washington, DC tonight to play the Wizards, and the NBA Odds for this one are late coming out, but are now putting the Wizards as -6 favorites.

Derrick Rose or No Derrick Rose?
The Bulls are pretty banged up heading into tonight’s game against the Wizards, and once again players must ask themselves, will Derrick Rose play or not? He is listed as a game time decision heading into tonight’s game, and with Pau Gasol already ruled out tonight, the Bulls might be down another one of their best players if Rose sits.

Jimmy Butler made his return the other night and played well, but the Bulls are going to need a mammoth game from him tonight if Rose sits out as well. Mike Dunleavy is also listed as questionable for the Bulls after missing Monday’s game with an illness, so needless to say, there is still some information we are waiting on for this one tonight.

However, some late breaking news earlier this morning said that Rose went through most of shootaround and practice yesterday, which bodes well for his chances to play on Wednesday. That news dropped the NBA Odds from +6 to +5 ½ for the Bulls, and with the news that Rose might play, if he indeed does take the court, even with Gasol out tonight, the Bulls could be a pretty good play taking points.

The Wizards dominated the Pistons the other night much to my surprise, but the Bulls pose a much greater threat to the Wizards, even with Gasol out. However, as long as Bradley Beal plays in this one after missing practice yesterday, the Wizards should have no problems scoring against a weak Bulls defense. With that being said, the over could be a nice way to get off the volatile spread tonight.


The Sharp Pick
The Bulls are coming into this game after cashing the over in their last three games, and while their offense has not been bad during that stretch, their defense has been the bigger reason the over has cashed. In those three games, Chicago has given up an average of 111 points per game, and on the road this season Chicago has been very consistent cashing the over at 20-12.

The Wizards on the other hand are coming into tonight cashing the over in three of their last four overall games, and the over has now cashed in the last four straight meetings between these two teams. Even though all four of those games were in Chicago, with the pace these two teams are playing at this season, it could be the fifth time in a row the over has cashed with a lower total of 212½.

The Wizards play at the 5th fastest pace of any team this season, while the Bulls are sitting just outside the top ten teams at 11th. However, the Bulls jump up a full point per 100 possessions in pace when they play on the road compared to at home, and that should be really helpful in our over play on this one.

Chicago is 14-10 cashing the over this season when playing as a road underdog, and they are the second best team in the league cashing the over in conference games. The Bulls are 24-15-1 this year cashing the over against the East, and overall as an underdog this season they are 18-14 cashing the over. Look for a higher scoring game in this one for your NBA pick, with the Wizards giving up nearly 111 points per game in their five games prior to their blowout win against the Pistons.

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NBA Pick: OVER 212½
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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