Free NBA Picks: Blazers Will Bounce Back Tonight vs. Spurs

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, March 17, 2016 3:19 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 17, 2016 3:19 PM UTC

The Trail Blazers have alternated wins and losses over their past four games while the Spurs have reeled off four consecutive victories. Let’s find out which side the right NBA pick tonight.

Portland Trail Blazers (35-33 SU, 38-30 ATS)
The Trail Blazers are seeded sixth in the Western Conference, trailing the Memphis Grizzlies by four games but have the Rockets and Mavericks nipping at their heels, only one game back. If Portland stumbles into a slump it is even possible they could be bounced out of the playoff round entirely with the Jazz only three games behind and trying to bust into the postseason parade. The Blazers are solid offensively averaging 104 points per game (8th) while owning the glass with an average of 45.5 rebounds per contest (5th).

After destroying the Magic 121-84 on Saturday night, Portland packed up and headed into Oklahoma City to meet Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and the Thunder. All those who thought the Trail Blazers would be buoyed by their dominating performance against Orlando, and included Portland in their NBA picks as eight-point road underdogs, were sorely mistaken as the Thunder rolled to an effortless 128-94 victory and held the Trail Blazers to just 34.1 percent from the floor. It was their lowest shooting percentage to date. Portland was outrebounded 52-39 in the loss.


San Antonio Spurs (57-10 SU, 40-27 ATS)
In most any other year the San Antonio Spurs’ 57-10 record would be garnering plenty of attention. However with the Golden State Warriors in the midst of an historic season, currently with 61 wins against only six losses and vying to break the ’96 Bulls record of 72 victories, they are being overshadowed. Nevertheless, the Spurs are not an attention seeking team but rather a product of good coaching coupled with a selfless attitude. That is a recipe for success as evidenced by their 12 wins over their last 13 games.

In their last outing the Spurs, installed as 9 ½ point home favorites by the NBA odds makers, dismantled the LA Clippers on Tuesday night. Kawhi Leonard and La Marcus Aldridge have come of age and are the primary reasons why San Antonio has been so formidable this season. The win matched the second longest home winning streak to open an NBA season in history with its 33rd consecutive home victory (42 in total if you include last season). The 1996 Chicago Bulls reeled off 37 straight home wins in their historic 72 win campaign. San Antonio has won 42 games this season by double digits and has a 40-27 ATS record to show for it.


Betting Analysis
These teams met twice in a home and away matchup back in November with the Spurs winning and covering the number in both. Of course everything points to the Spurs destroying the sputtering Trail Blazers as they are 33-0 at home and 21-12 ATS in those contests. Conversely the Blazers are 14-21 straight up on the road but own a much better 19-16 ATS record in those games away from Portland.

However, I am going to look a straight up winner in the eye and cast my lot with the Trail Blazers who are certainly a better team than their recent efforts suggest. One of the reasons I am inclined to do so is because the Spurs have a marquee matchup waiting for them just two nights from now when they take on the Golden State Warriors. Don’t you think San Antonio is looking ahead or at least peeking through their fingers at that red circle on their calendar? I certainly do and the squares will undoubtedly drive this number through the roof of which I am more than willing to take advantage.

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NBA Pick: Blazers +12 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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