Free NBA Picks: Bet Spurs Home Cover -8 vs. Pistons

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, January 6, 2015 3:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2015 3:42 PM UTC

We realize the Pistons have been playing better of late, but we don't think they have much of a chance in keeping pace with the Spurs tonight. Check out our NBA odds preview inside.

Odds Overview
Surprised the Spurs aren't favored by more than eight points for tonight's home contest against the Pistons? We have to say we are a little too, even in spite of the fact that Detroit's been playing much better basketball of late. But, NBA oddsmakers have posted a spread of eight and it seems solid across the board when looking at SBR's live NBA odds handicapping service.

Thinking about making a play on the game's total? The number has gone down slightly from an opening number of 199, as it's listed at 198 for now.

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San Antonio Spurs
Should we be worried about the Spurs? No, not really. While it's true they haven't been nearly as dominant so far this season, they're going to be just fine. They're seventh in the Western Conference standings right now, but obviously have more than enough time to make up ground and earn themselves a higher seed. No team is as experienced as San Antonio, so we're going to trust Gregg Popovich's process over all else. 

The Spurs, per usual, are being extra cautious with their best players. Kawhi Leonard remains out, while Tony Parker continues to miss a lot of time too. Then there are the frequent DNPs for the likes of Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili, with Pop hoping to keep everyone fresh enough for another shot at a title. 

But, let's get back to business and talk about their recent showings. The Spurs come in having won three of their last four, picking up wins over the Rockets, Pelicans and Wizards, with the only loss coming on the road in Memphis. Cory Joseph has really done a nice job in filling in for Parker, and now San Antonio has Patty Mills back in the mix to tak the load off. That said, with so many injuries, it'll be Duncan and Ginobili that will assume most of the offensive responsibility, assuming they even play.


Detroit Pistons
Well then. How about that? The Pistons have reeled off five consecutive wins, so this has easily been their best stretch of the young season. Of course, it's hard not to think Josh Smith's departure has had something to do with the improved play and overall team attitude that we've been seeing out of Detroit lately.

Back on Sunday, the Pistons steamrolled over the Kings in a 114-95 victory. Brandon Jennings was unstoppable, racking up 35 points and seven assists, while Andre Drummond had 15 points and 14 boards in 28 minutes. Greg Monroe also double-doubled in what was a very impressive offensive showing from Stan Van Gundy's men.

We can't wait to see if Detroit continues to play this way. The rotation still has holes, but it's clear Smith was a virus and that the Pistons are much better off without him. Jennings has been playing out of his mind recently and has been drawing praise from the coach, which seems to be a first too. Soon enough we'll see if the good times keep rolling in San Antonio.


NBA Pick
We're not going to overthink this one too much.

In short, we feel far more comfortable in siding with the Spurs (regardless of who plays and who doesn't) rather than taking a leap with the wildly inconsistent Pistons. Detroit's been performing well, but this team still doesn't come close to sniffing the overall talent level and chemistry that San Antonio possesses. It doesn't hurt that Pop's team is a rock solid 12-5 SU on their home floor, whereas Detroit is just 6-10 on the road this season.

So, when placing your final NBA picks for tonight's short slate, don't hesitate to add the Spurs as chalk. They know how to get the job done regardless of personnel, so we look for them to pull away on their way to a cover. Enjoy the game, and good luck!

Free NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -8 at Bookmaker

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