Free NBA Picks: Bet Road Favorite Kings ATS vs. Low Scoring Lakers

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 15, 2016 6:36 PM GMT

The Kings slide into LA after dropping nine of their last 10 contests. The Lakers have been defeated in their last pair of games. Which of these slumping teams are worthy of our NBA picks tonight?

Sacramento Kings (25-40 SU, 27-37-1 ATS)
Worse than losing nine of 10 is failing to cover the NBA odds in 8 of those 10 games especially for those who have been backing the shame-spiraling Kings in their NBA picks. Sacramento has 17 games left on their schedule and are eight games back of the Dallas Mavericks for the eighth and final playoff spot. Needless to say, the powers that be in Sacramento are putting a hold on printing up those first round playoff tickets and are more likely mapping out vacation destinations for mid-April.

In their last outing the Kings welcomed the Jazz to the Sleep Train Arena and the tone was immediately set for another long night for the paying customers who continue to support the swooning franchise. Utah vaulted out to a 36-18 first quarter lead and held the Kings at bay for the remaining three as the Jazz put a notch in the win column with a 108-99 decision. It was the first time all season that the Kings never held a lead.

DeMarcus Cousins had 31 points and hauled down 10 boards after returning from a one-game team suspension. Cousins was told to sit after a verbal tirade directed at head coach George Karl after the team's loss in Cleveland on Wednesday night. It was the eighth time in six seasons that Cousins has been suspended by either the team or the league.

 

Los Angeles Lakers (14-53 SU, 31-35-1 ATS)
Kobe's farewell season will go down in Lakers' history as one of the worst and things didn't get any better when they dropped a 90-87 decision to the New York Knicks as two-point home underdogs in their last outing. Even in his 19th season and at the age of 37 Bryant is still leading his team in points, averaging 16.8 per game, yet it is a far cry from his 25 PPG career average. The fact that a fading star in the twilight of his career must shoulder the scoring burden speaks volumes as to why the Lakers enter their 68th game of the season with just 14 wins under their collective belts.

All one needs to do is glance at the Lakers' stats this season and it will tell the tale of a team in a freefall with seemingly no end in sight. Los Angeles is ranked 28th in scoring (97.9 PPG), 27th in points allowed (106.8 PPG), 21st in rebounds (42.7 RPG) and dead last in assists averaging just 18.2 per contest. A top five pick in this year's draft is about the only thing Lakers' fans can look forward to as the season grinds to a merciful end.

 

Betting Analysis
The Kings have won the last six meetings against the Lakers and have covered the number in four of those six. Back on January 20th the Kings flew into LA as seven point road favorites and dribbled out of town with a 112-93 win and an easy cover. Tonight the venue remains the same but Sacramento, due to their recent stretch of futility and no longer the playoff bound contender that they were in January, are now just 2 ½ point road favorites. We think that makes them a bargain.

Consider that the Kings one major foible this season has been their lack of defense, ranking 30th among 30 teams, and allowing 109.5 points per game. That kind of invisibility in your defensive zone can rack up losses in a hurry. But fortunately Sacramento can score in bunches as evidenced by their 106.7 points per game (3rd) and solid rebounding game averaging 44.6 RPG which places them 9th in the league. That inside game led by Boogie Cousins is a game changer and as bad as the Kings have been they are simply better than a Lakers team that ranks amongst the worst in scoring and will be unable to exploit Sacramento's Achilles heel. Be sure to visit our top O/U games happening for Tuesday

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NBA Pick: Sacramento -5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle