Free NBA Picks: Bet 'Over' in Warriors & Spurs Game 2

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, May 8, 2013 2:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 8, 2013 2:19 PM UTC

Why have we decided to focus on the total in tonight's Warriors and Spurs Game 2 matchup? Let our NBA picks point you in the right direction when it comes time to deciding rather to back the 'Over' or 'Under'.

If the remainder of this series is anything like Game 1, we are in store for an incredible week or two of basketball. After covering and almost winning, will the Warriors be encouraged or discouraged after giving up a double-digit lead? The NBA Odds for this one are slightly lower than in Game 1, as the Spurs are -7 ½ or -8 favorites with a total of 204.

For a free first halp play, be sure to check out our NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Spurs Game 2 article.

Game 1 was stunning on more than one angle, and after to double overtime Game 1, it’s hard to make a prediction on this one. Tiago Splitter missed Game 1 and it doesn’t look like he is going to play in Game 2 either but he is still listed as questionable. For the Warriors David Lee did not play in Game 1 despite dressing and against Tim Duncan, I doubt they are able to play Lee at all let alone for enough minutes to have an impact.

With the uncertainty after Game 1, I’m siding with a more reliable bet for this game and that’s the over. The last two meetings between these two teams have gone over, and even though Game 1 went into double overtime, the over cashed before the end of regulation. Looking back on Monday night and at their last meeting in late April, these two teams do not match up well against one another. Stephen Curry is a man possessed right now and the Spurs had little to no answer for him until they started guarding him with Kawhi Leonard. 

On top of that, Tim Duncan was sick during Game 1 and he still was able to put up 19 and 11. Imagine if he is feeling better for Game 2. If the Spurs’ big three can continue to dominate the game on offense, and if they can just keep Curry from dropping 44 points, the Spurs should win this game. However I still see Curry having a dominant performance. Tony Parker had a great game himself, but he can’t guard Curry. 

The Spurs are averaging over 113 points per game in their last four games, and while the Warriors are better than the Lakers were on defense, the Spurs have too many options on offense. The Warriors on the other side have also been scoring the ball well. Golden State is averaging 110 points per game in seven playoff games. I’m placing my NBA picks on the OVER for a small play. 

My NBA Pick: OVER 204 

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