Free NBA Picks: 76ers vs. Hawks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, March 6, 2013 3:17 PM GMT

The Philadelphia 76ers have dropped 10 of their last 12 games, but they must be respected as road underdogs against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. Which team are we looking to back with our sports picks tonight?

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting line for this Eastern Conference affair that’s scheduled to tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET at Philips Arena.

Closing out a back-to-back situation

Philadelphia ended up on the losing end of a 109-101 decision to the Boston Celtics as three-point home underdogs Tuesday night, while going OVER the posted total of 183.

The 76ers are 7-19 against the spread (ATS) in their last 26 games on zero days rest, while the UNDER has cashed in five of the last seven opportunities in that situation.

Disappointing trip

Atlanta finished with a 3-3 record on its six-game road trip, which was a bit of a disappointing, considering it won and covered the spread in the first three contests, while the UNDER went 4-1-1 in that span.

The Hawks are 9-6 straight up (SU) and 7-8 ATS after suffering three or more consecutive losses the last two-plus seasons, while falling short of the betting total in 11 of those 15 affairs.

Series history

I’m always looking to grab the points in a matchup when a particular team has enjoyed recent success against an opponent, which is certainly the case here, as Philadelphia has won six straight games over Atlanta.

The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series, while the underdog has cashed in eight of those contests.

Road woes

Philadelphia will try to avoid losing 11 games in a row for the first time in 25 seasons, as it looks to turn around its current 6-20 overall record away from the Wells Fargo Center, which includes a 3-12 mark versus conference rivals.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the 76ers are 11-13-1 ATS as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points, while the OVER is 14-11 in that situation.

Fatigue may be setting in

The NBA odds could see some movement, so we need to keep a close eye on the injury report for this matchup, as Atlanta has a laundry list of players that are listed as questionable after a long road trip.

Starting point guard Jeff Teague (ankle), sharpshooting forward Kyle Korver (toe) and backup center Zaza Pachulia (Achilles) are all listed as questionable.

[gameodds]5/220371/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the 76ers as one of their NBA betting picks, as the Hawks are 1-5-2 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points this season.  Atlanta will have a hard time covering this type of number against an opponent it hasn’t beaten since Dec. 3, 2010.

NBA Pick:  Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 at Bovada

Also take a look at my free picks for the Rockets & Mavericks matchup.