Defenseless Spurs Getting Too Many Points In Utah

Jordan Sharp

Monday, December 3, 2018 7:07 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 3, 2018 7:07 PM UTC

Despite the Spurs owning one of the better offenses in the NBA so far this season, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, against the Jazz, it shouldn’t matter on Tuesday night.

Jordan's NBA Picks: 10-9

San Antonio (11-12 SU & 11-12 ATS) at Utah (11-13 SU & 11-13 ATS)Tuesday, 9 p.m. EST (NBATV)Free NBA Pick: Spurs ATSBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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The Spurs may have just been recently demolished by the Wolves and Rockets, but their win against the Blazers recently could mark a turnaround for this squad.

Energy Solutions Struggles

Even though the Jazz have seen their attendance down to start the season, and even with their home games being against pretty tough opponents, I doubt the Jazz saw that start coming for their first 24 games.

Even though they have started to turn things around overall, winning three of their last five games, their offense has taken a big step back, and it has really led to them playing pretty inconsistent at home.

The inconsistency is somewhat of a limited factor in all of this, because they have been on the road so much it could be an anomaly. However, the Jazz are giving up 115 points per 100 possessions in their eight home games this year, so whatever way you spin it, they have not played well.

Enter the Spurs, a team that has been built on defense for their entire history, and are now looking like a team that can win only by out-scoring people. The Spurs are allowing a ton of points this season, but against a team like the Jazz, that may not play in this type of game.

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Last night the Spurs shot over 60% from the floor, 70% from three-point range and 90% from the free throw line as a team.

Just the 9th 60/70/90 game in NBA history.

First 60/70/90 game since 1995.

Spurs set record for most three-pointers made in a 60/70/90 game with 11 treys.

— Jordan Howenstine (@AirlessJordan) December 3, 2018
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The Sharp Pick

Because of the Jazz struggles both at home and on offense, I’m surprised to see the Spurs open up as such big underdogs. I would have put them somewhere around +3 ½ or +4 dogs with both teams rested.

The Spurs are faced with a game on Wednesday in Los Angeles against the Lakers, but I doubt that leads Coach Popovich to rest any of his main players on the first night. They should look at Tuesday as a much more winnable game than Wednesday against the Lakers anyway.

The true Gregg Popovich move will be to motivate his guys to win on Tuesday night, so he can stick it to the league by resting some of his stars on Wednesday against LeBron James.

Even if that’s not the case, the Spurs are getting too many points in the opener here. Combined with their success on offense averaging 110.8 points per 100 possessions, I think they keep this one within one or two possessions at the end.

With the way that LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan have been playing, the Jazz defense won’t be able to stop both of them. If Rudy Gobert is forced to defend Aldridge the entire night, that could hurt the Jazz defense too.

Aldridge can play with his back to the basket, but they may choose to play him more at power forward, which if Gobert is guarding him, will move the Frenchman away from the basket. This could hurt an already vulnerable Utah defense, and make it so the Spurs have a great avenue at covering.

Prediction: Jazz 108, Spurs 106

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