Free NBA Pick - San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, October 30, 2016 5:28 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 30, 2016 5:28 PM UTC

The Heat are going to struggle on offense and with the Spurs coming off a back to back, but a blowout, this could be another defensive game. The Spurs are one of the best defensive teams in the league and after scoring only 91 points against the Hornets, the Heat might fall below 90 points in this game.


  San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat  


The Spurs played last night and easily took care of the Pelicans on Saturday night. Now they play on the second night of a back to back and face off against the Miami Heat. Miami is a +7 home underdog here on the early start Sunday, but it's the total that looks like the best play of the day. 

At only 194 points, the total is still too low, despite being bet down by the sharps from where it opened at 198. The Spurs have one of the best defenses in the NBA and right now they own a defensive rating of 95.6 points allowed per 100 possessions. With both teams playing at a snail's pace to start the season, we should see a lower scoring game in this one. 

The Spurs and Heat both rank in the bottom third of the league in pace, with both teams averaging between 95 and 96 points per 100 possessions. As long as Hassan Whiteside is healthy tonight, he should provide enough rim protection for the Heat to slow down the Spurs' offense, while the Heat may fall below 90 points in this one. Miami only scored 91 points against the Hornets on Friday and they might be below that tonight. 


Free NBA Pick: Under 194Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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