Fast Pace And Loose Defense Lead To 'Over' In Rockets-Wolves

Tuesday, February 12, 2019 7:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2019 7:55 PM UTC

Both the Wolves and Rockets are coming off wins as they head into their showdown on Wednesday. Will Minnesota put up a decent fight in this one, or will their defense give way to another big night for the Rockets on offense?

Jordan’s NBA Picks: 37-18

Houston (33-23 SU & 26-29-1 ATS) at Minnesota (26-30 SU & 28-28 ATS)Wednesday, 8:00 PM EST, ESPNFree NBA Pick: OverBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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The Wolves put an end to their four-game losing streak on Monday with a win over the now very openly tanking Clippers. However, even with the Wolves getting healthier, can we expect them to stay with a team they aren’t even in the same league with?

Injury Concerns

For the Rockets their biggest issue for this game is they are still without Clint Capela. Their budding young big man was in the midst of a career season before going down with a torn ligament in his thumb. He is still a few more weeks away from returning, which makes Karl-Anthony Towns a big threat to the Rockets’ defense in this one.

So far, the Rockets have fared ok without Capela on the court, but in a matchup like this one, his absence will be even more glaring. Despite Kenneth Faried and Nene holding their own at the center spot, Towns dropped 24 points and 11 rebounds against Capela and the Rockets back in early December, so I fear that he could do even more damage with Capela still unable to play.

On the flip side Andrew Wiggins missed Monday’s win with an illness and there hasn’t been much of an update on his status for Wednesday yet. I’m assuming he plays as long as the illness is nothing major, but it is still something to keep an eye on as we head towards tipoff. If he is able to participate at shootaround Wednesday, he should be fine to play.

The Wolves also recently got back their two top point guards in Derrick Rose and Jeff Teague. Both had huge games with Wiggins out on Monday and having them able to take over the ball handling should do wonders for this Wolves offense. Even though Minnesota is still without veteran swingman Robert Covington, their offense should have little trouble scoring on the Rockets in this one.

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30 STRAIGHT FOR @JHarden13! pic.twitter.com/fQLWqYMHdI

— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) 12 de fevereiro de 2019
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The Sharp Pick

I hesitate all the time with road favorites, which includes the Rockets on Wednesday night. However, they still should score a ton of points in this one. The Wolves’ defense is allowing more than 110 points per 100 possessions this season and while they are MUCH better on defense at home, their pace also quickens a little when they play at the Target Center.

Simply put, I don’t care how good the Wolves’ defense has been at home this season, the Rockets should still be able to score the ball pretty easily. Houston is averaging 121.7 points per 100 possessions over their last five road games and if the Wolves want to get in a pace battle on their home court, the scoring in this one should be pretty high.

Minnesota is 15-12-1 cashing the over at home this season and they come into this game cashing the over in four straight games. With the All Star Break looming and with the Wolves’ playoff chances lengthening every day, I see them playing loose and making this one a high-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction: Rockets 119, Wolves 112

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