Free NBA Pick: Rockets An Underdog Story Worth Investing In

Wednesday, May 1, 2019 1:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 1, 2019 1:09 PM UTC

The Rockets and Warriors played a great Game 1, but Game 2 is threatened to be over-shadowed because everyone wants to talk about the officiating. Can we turn that into a winning NBA Pick?

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Jordan’s NBA Picks: 67-49, Playoffs 13-11</em></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Houston (57-31 SU &amp; 44-41 ATS) at Golden State (62-27 SU &amp; 38-50 ATS)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Tuesday, 10:30 PM EST, TNT</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Pick: <a href="" target="_blank">Rockets ATS 1H</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" target="_blank">5Dimes</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3784334, "sportsbooksIds":[19,238,169,999991,186], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":2}[/]</p><p> </p><p> </p><p></p><h2>How Will Officiating Impact Game 2?</h2><p></p><p> </p><p> </p><p>Say what you want about the officiating of Game 1, or the perceived officiating in Game 2, the Rockets still are very capable of stealing a win and/or cover from the Dubs on Tuesday.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p></p><h2>Conspiracy Theories</h2><p></p><p> </p><p> </p><p>There are a lot of conspiracy theories out there, some good, some really bad. Some are laughable and others are dangerous. The NBA fixing games via refs is somewhere in between those two, but it’s kind of hard to laugh off these days.</p><p>Game 1 was pretty poorly officiated and now the league is sending notable Rockets heel Scott Foster to Oakland to officiate Game 2. If ever there was a time to believe in NBA officiating being rigged, now would be it.</p><p>So, all of a sudden, everyone is banking on the <a href="" target="_blank">Warriors to win and cover their quarter, half, and game lines</a>. The jokes about laying money (real or fake) on the Warriors’ alt lines are piling up, I’m sure.</p><p>However, what if that doesn’t happen? What if the officiating is pretty even and James Harden drops 40 points? What if Kevin Durant cools off? What if the Rockets actually get some scoring from their bench?</p><p>There are way too many factors in which the <a href="" target="_blank">Rockets keep this game close again in Game 2</a> and almost all of them have nothing to do with the officiating. Sure, there could be other variables such as Klay Thompson or Stephen Curry going bananas, but in the end, I’m banking on the officiating not playing as big a role as most are predicting.</p><p>The league knows this is the best series they have right now in a very good second round so far. They don’t need any more talk of the officiating after this series. So, if you’re inclined to believe in Adam Silver pulling the league strings in a Vince McMahon-like fashion, don’t you think it's in the interest of the league that they’ll have a cleaner officiated Game 2?</p><p> </p><p> </p><p></p><h2>The Sharp Pick</h2><p></p><p> </p><p> </p><p>If the Rockets are content with matching up and going small with the Warriors, they have the ability to shoot their way into a cover here. Whether it’s the quarter, half or full game line is the tough call. The full game lines have been increasingly sharp this postseason, but <a href="" target="_blank">the first half spread seems like a value still</a>.</p><p>The Rockets’ ability to defend the Warriors has really evened up this matchup because even after giving up 28 first-quarter points in Game 1, the Rockets held the Dubs to a 106 offensive rating in the first half.</p><p>If you add in Houston’s very strong first half defense throughout the playoffs, I think they can cover the +3 1H line. Austin Rivers will likely be back, which bolsters their offensive depth off the bench during the second quarter, so if Chris Paul and Eric Gordon can continue shooting well, I like their chances of keeping it a one-possession game at the half.</p><p>First Half Score Prediction: Rockets 55 – Warriors 57</p>
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