No Goran Dragic For Heat Makes Nets Valuable ATS

Jordan Sharp

Monday, November 19, 2018 7:28 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 19, 2018 7:28 PM UTC

Goran Dragic is set to miss at least the next three games for the Heat, which means they are down their best ball handler and distributor. With the Nets playing better than anyone expected them to to start the season, can we expect them to cover vs. Miami on Tuesday?

Jordan’s NBA Picks: 5-8

Brooklyn (7-10 SU & 8-9 ATS) at Miami (6-10 SU & 6-10 ATS)Tuesday, 7:30 PM ESTFree NBA Pick: Nets ATSBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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While the Heat recently got back James Johnson from a sports hernia, being without Goran Dragic on Tuesday will hurt their chances of covering. The Nets have a deep squad of shooters, and if they are knocking down shots on the road, Miami might be in danger of losing this one SU.

Nets Will Bounce Back

Brooklyn has lost four of their last five games coming into this one, and a lot of that coincides with the brutal injury that Caris LeVert suffered. LeVert is arguably the Nets’ best player, and even though his presence isn’t make or break for this team his energy and offense has been missed lately.

However, with veterans like DeMarre Carroll back and with Rondae Hollis-Jefferson starting to get going, this team has the bodies it needs to compete with the Heat. Even though the Nets recently lost to the Heat at home 120-107, the 21 points Miami got from Dragic will not be there this time around.

While I fully expect Hassan Whiteside to feast at the rim, if the Nets can keep everyone else on the Heat down, this one could be very close. There is no doubt that the Nets have some work to do on the defensive end. This has been their issue for the last few years during their rebuilding process. Brooklyn is allowing 112.4 points per 100 possessions this season, which ranks 25th in the league.

The plus for the Nets this season has been on offense. They rank inside the top 10 in offensive rating, and if they can slow things down enough to protect their vulnerable defense, this game should finish within one or two possessions either way.

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Goran Dragic had his knee drained this morning. He'll miss at least the next three games. Heat hopes inflammation will subside by the time the team returns from an upcoming road trip.

— David Wilson (@DBWilson2) November 19, 2018
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The Sharp Pick

I understand betting on the Nets may send some of you for the hills, especially with me losing my last three NBA picks pending one on Monday. But it’s time to trust the process, people.

Plus, without Dragic, that should be the thing that sends you running to the Nets in this one. Without their starting point guard on the floor this season, the Heat’s offense goes from averaging 115.9 points per 100 possessions to 109.2.

Considering this, and considering the Heat have lost eight of their last 11 SU and ATS, the Nets should not seem like a bad play here at all. Miami may still be more talented even without Dragic on the court, but they are 1-3 SU and ATS without him this season. That includes a SU and ATS loss to the Hawks, who may be the worst team in the league.

Since their defeat to Miami last week, the Nets have played two very good games as they figure things out with LeVert on the shelf. Jarrett Allen and D’Angelo Russell both had huge games, and I expect both to show up big against the Heat on Tuesday.

Score Prediction: Heat 113, Nets 111

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