Indiana Stumbling To Start Tough Western Conference Road Trip

Tuesday, March 19, 2019 4:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 19, 2019 4:39 PM UTC

The Pacers have lost the first two games of their tough stretch where they play seven straight games against Western Conference playoff teams and five of them on the road. Now playing their third game in four nights on the road in LA, can Indiana bounce back after a tough loss Monday in Portland?

Jordan’s NBA Picks: 39-23

Indiana (44-27 SU & 35-35 ATS) at LA Clippers (41-30 SU & 40-31 ATS)

Tuesday, 10:30 PM EST, NBATV

Free NBA Pick: Clippers 1H ATS

Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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The Clippers are coming off a huge buzzer-beating win courtesy of Lou Williams. They are as hot as almost any team in the league SU, but they have dropped their last three ATS. With a tired and depleted Pacers team coming to town, can LA cover the spread?

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Lou Williams. Clippers. Best basketball show in LA

— Bill Plaschke (@BillPlaschke) March 18, 2019
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Pacers’ Road Woes Continue

I talked a lot about how poorly the Pacers have played on the road since the Victor Oladipo went down in yesterday’s article picking the Blazers to cover versus Indiana. The Pacers are near the bottom of the league since Oladipo’s late-January injury in road offense and playing on a back-to-back and their third game in four nights is not going to help anything.

The Clippers should be able to take advantage of this. Over the month of March, they have been the best offense in all of the NBA, posting 117 points per 100 possessions over their last eight games.

The best part about their recent play however, has been their ability to play even better in the first half of those games. LA is averaging more than 118 points per 100 possessions in the first halves of their March games. They are also only giving up 103 points per 100 possessions in the first halves of those games, which is sixth-best in the league.

I am tempted to lay the points in the full game line, but with the Pacers offense struggling, their legs tired and playing the toughest stretch of their season so far, I see the Clippers taking hold of this game early.

The Sharp Pick

Clippers are +25 over the month of March in the first halves of their games. Since Oladipo has went down, the Pacers have only played five games on the road against the West, including their two most recent losses. In those games they are averaging just 104.1 points per 100 possessions in the first half, while allowing 109.4.

This isn’t half bad considering they are missing their best player, but the offensive part is not great against a team like LA that can fill it up in a hurry at home. A lot of Eastern Conference teams have had trouble scoring the ball when they go out West this season, but a tired Pacers team might be a perfect first half fade tonight.

I’m seeing the Clippers putting up close to 60 points in the first half of this one and I can’t fathom the Pacers being able to keep up with that on tired legs and coming off two straight tough losses. If the Clippers’ home defense from the last month stays the same, Indiana might not get to 50 first half points.

1st Half Score Prediction: Pacers 52 – Clippers 58

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