Free NBA Pick: Capper Backs Warriors To Beat Cavaliers Tonight

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, June 16, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 16, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Cavaliers will again play a “do or die’ game against the Warriors. This scenario is familiar as it was Golden State’s Game #6 win on this floor that clinched their NBA Championship last year.

Cleveland extended the inevitable by winning Game #5 at Oracle Arena, 112-97. That was only the fourth home loss of the season for Golden State. In predicting that Cleveland victory, I mention that in order to succeed, Cleveland would have to shoot more foul shots than Golden State, outrebound the Warriors and commit fewer turnovers than the Defending Champ in order to slow down Golden State’s lethal transition game. None of that happened! Cleveland was -3 in foul tries, -2 in rebounds and +1 in turnovers.

What did happen, however, was that Cleveland outshot Golden 53% to 36% from the field. It resulted in a 112-97 Cleveland victory when EACH LeBron James and Kyrie Irving scored 41 points. All this was accomplished by the Cavaliers without the services of Golden State’s #3 scorer Draymond Green who was suspended for Game #5 due to his conduct with LeBron at the end of Game #4.

There is still more upside for the Cavs as they look to get a better night from #3 scorer, Kevin Love who returned to the Game #5 starting lineup after his concussion in Game #2. Love scored just 2 points with 3 rebounds in the Game #5 victory. Of course, there are only so many touches when 2 players score 40 or more points, the first time it had been accomplished in NBA history. Cleveland is saying all the right things regarding their focus and preparation in an effort to extend this series one more game.

But Game #5 will be about adjustments for Golden State. Though they will be without starting center Andrew Bogut, who will miss the remainder of the finals due to a knee injury, the Warriors will profit from the return of Green. Leading the Warriors in Game #5 were Splash Brothers Thompson who score 37 with (6) 3 pointers and Curry who stuffed the stat sheet with 25 points (5 triples) to go along with 7 rebound, 4 assists and 2 blocked shots. Warriors HC Kerr is well aware from his experience as player and coach about the emotional effort that is necessary to win a closeout game on the road. But if there is one team that is prepared to do just that it is these defending champions. History is clearly on their side. 

Golden State is an NBA best 14-1 SU following a defeat this season. And NBA history is clear about their chances. 32 teams have held a 3 games to 1 lead in a Championship series. All 32 of those have gone on to win the series with only 2 of those teams being extended to 7 games. Must like our chances with Golden State +2 tonight as I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and follow my NBA pick on the Golden State Warriors to the winners circle.

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Free NBA Pick:  Warriors +115
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

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