Free NBA Pick ATS: Warriors -4 at Home vs. Clippers

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 4:35 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 4:35 PM UTC

Before placing your NBA pick, keep in mind that the although the Warriors are off to a perfect 3-0 start, that doesn't mean it's going to be easy against Chris Paul and the Clippers tonight. 

Odds Overview
The lines continue to move, but for now the Warriors are favored by either 4 or 4.5 point on NBA odds. It all depends on what sportsbook you use, but the value is out there to be had.

We know these two offenses can put up points in a hurry, so a high total of 208.5 seems more than reasonable. Combined, these two teams are averaging 208.2 points per contest heading into tonight's tipoff.


Golden State Warriors
So far so good for the Warriors. They've beaten the Kings, Lakers and Trail Blazers on their way to a spotless 3-0 start to their season.

Golden State was last in action Sunday in a 95-90 road win over Portland. The Warriors shot 44.4 percent as a team, hitting on 31.6 percent of their 3-point attempts, which aren't the best of numbers. Still, they made the necessary plays down the stretch to seal what was an excellent win away from home.

Klay Thompson continued to tear it up, scoring 29 points on 11-of-22 shooting. Stephen Curry came through with 21 points, six assists and five boards, while Andrew Bogut recorded 11 points, 12 rebounds, three assists and two blocks in the win. LeAndro Barbosa provided a nice spark off the bench, scoring 13 points in 16 minutes.

Sure, it's a small sample size, but Golden State has been excellent on both ends of the floor thus far. The Warriors are scoring 105.7 points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA, and defensively they're allowing just 90.3 points a contest, which is the third-best mark in the league. That's some pretty stellar balance.

It's clear the Warriors are adjusting well to life under new coach Steve Kerr, but tonight's game should be the biggest test of the young season. It's never an easy proposition to play the Clippers, regardless of the location.


Los Angeles Clippers
While the Warriors have enjoyed a great start, it hasn't been too shabby for the Clippers either.

So far, LA has won three of four games, with the team's one loss coming in surprising fashion at home to Sacramento. The Clippers' three wins came over the Thunder, Lakers and most recently the Jazz.

Against Utah, Chris Paul was relentless as always and finished with a triple-double - he had 13 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds and added two steals and a block for good measure. Blake Griffin was terrific too, scoring 31 points to go with nine boards, four dimes and a couple blocked shots. 

Paul and Griffin are going to continue wrecking havoc together all season long, but they could stand to get a little more help. The return of Jamaal Crawford should be helpful - we saw what he can bring to the table when he went for 19 points in 34 minutes off the bench against the Jazz on Monday.

Now we'll have to see if LA can bring the intensity into a tough environment at Oracle Arena. 

Find out what other NBA picks our handicappers are recommending in today's betting odds report.

NBA Pick
This should be a terrific game, and one that we fully expect to come down to the wire. Ultimately, though, we think the value lies with Golden State, as we think they'll pull away late and grab both the SU and ATS cover.

While the Warriors have shown great balance, they'll also have the benefit of having an extra day of rest. You've also got to love that high-scoring duo of Curry and Thompson, who have been unstoppable through the first three games of the season, and there's a good chance the team will get David Lee back from injury tonight too.

With our NBA picks, let's side with Curry and company to come through for backers. We think they'll feed off the crowd and ultimately prove to be too much for the Clippers in this spot.

Free NBA Pick: Warriors -4 at BookMaker

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