Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Spurs ATS
Best Line Offered: BetOnline
For the first time in his NBA career, Tony Parker will face off against his old team that he won four NBA titles with, the San Antonio Spurs. Parker decided to leave and test free agency last summer after San Antonio had anointed Dejounte Murray their point guard of the future, leaving no room for the 37-year-old. Parker and his Hornets teammates are in the midst of their longest road stretch of the season, a six-game trip that began nearly two weeks ago, but has seen the Hornets lose four of the five games and fall down the Eastern Conference standings.
Charlotte has one of the worst road records against the spread this season at 8-12. Do not look for the Hornets to snap out of that losing rut on the road, as they face the NBA’s best home team in terms of ATS. San Antonio boasts an NBA-best 17-6 record ATS at home this season and that winning percentage increases when they are home favorites (4-1).
San Antonio has gotten into a groove as the season has gone along, as they have been able to properly integrate DeMar DeRozan into their system despite he and LaMarcus Aldridge sharing a lot of the same real estate on the floor because they are both prolific mid-range shooters.
The reason the two are able to gel so well lately is because DeRozan has taken on more of a point guard role, handling the ball as much as he has his entire career to supplement the production lost from Murray. DeRozan is getting comfortable running pick-and-roll actions, and defenses have to pick their poison when deciding to duck under screens for DeRozan or give attention to Aldridge, who is scoring quite efficiently this season. Aldridge is shooting 51% from the field and has taken the 3-point shot out of his repertoire (down to just 0.3 3-point FGA’s per game from 1.7 last season), which has allowed him to focus on scoring around the basket and in the mid-range.
The Spurs are heading home after a Saturday loss to new rival Oklahoma City. San Antonio lost to the Thunder 122-112, just two days after the Spurs put on a show, holding off the Thunder in a double-overtime victory on national television.
The Spurs are 41-15 all-time against Charlotte and have won 21 of their last 28 games in San Antonio against the Hornets.
Here are a few trends working in San Antonio’s favor as you ponder your NBA picks for Monday’s action:
- Hornets are 6-8 ATS as road underdog
- Hornets are 3-10 ATS against Western Conference teams
- Spurs are 7-4 ATS against Eastern Conference teams
- Spurs are 17-6 ATS at home