Jordan’s NBA picks record: 28-15
Monday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Free NBA Picks: 1H & Full Game ‘Over’
Best Lines Offered: BetOnline
The Pelicans lost their first game in a long nine-day road trip on Saturday and they might be in danger of losing another one Monday night in Los Angeles. Will Anthony Davis shake off his locker room blues to fend off the feisty Clippers?
Slowing Pace, Or Opponents Dictating It?
These two teams have been known to put up some huge scores this season and it’s probably why the total for this one opened just a few points shy of 240 points. Without a doubt this should be a high-scoring game, but lately both teams have been slowing down their paces.
The Pelicans and Clippers are playing at paces of 101 possessions per game in January, which is two or three possessions slower than their averages for the season. However, that could be more of a product of who they have been playing since the calendar turned to January.
The Pelicans have played the Wolves, Grizzlies, Cavs, and Nets this month, while the Clippers have faced the Pistons, Nuggets, Hornets, and Jazz over their last four January games.
Now against each other, I could easily see this game turning into an All-Star-type game. In their first meeting the final score was 129-126 in favor of the Clippers and while I doubt the game on Monday night is that high scoring, it could very well still cash the “over” for bettors.
The Sharp Pick
The Clippers are 15-9-1 cashing the “over” as favorites this season and they are 10-6 cashing the “over” as home favorites on the year. The Pelicans, on the other hand, are 9-5 cashing the “over” as road underdogs and 12-7 cashing the “over” as dogs on the season.
The Pelicans have cashed the “over” in five of their last seven road games and it has been their defense, especially in the first half, that has made these “overs” cash. The Pelicans are allowing 117.4 points per 100 possessions in the first halves of their road games this season. If you include only their last seven road games, they are scoring more than 117 points per 100 possessions as well.
Considering how well the Clippers have played at home this season outside of their most recent loss there, I see this game being a great play for the first-half and full-game “over.” It would not surprise me to see both teams in the 60s after two quarters, which should help cash the full-game “over” as well.
Final score prediction: Clippers 122, Pelicans 118