Free 2013 NBA Picks for Kings vs. Spurs

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, December 29, 2013 6:27 PM GMT

Sunday, Dec. 29, 2013 6:27 PM GMT

The Spurs host the Kings on Sunday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas with the opening tip coming at 7:05 PM ET. Find out where we believe the best value lies for tonight's game.

According to NBA betting odds the Spurs are a 12.0 point home favorite and the posted total is 210.5. These teams have seen 6 of their last 7 meetings in San Antonio go over the total. The road team has covered in 8 of the last 11-games between these clubs.

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Like A Fine Wine

This is a veteran and deep San Antonio Spurs team that continues to play at a very high level. They currently lead the Southwest Division with an outstanding 23-7 record, and they hold a 3.0 game lead over the 2nd place Houston Rockets. San Antonio comes off a 116-107 win at Dallas on Thursday night. San Antonio has actually been better on the road this season than at home. They’ve gone 10-4 at home and 13-3 on the road thus far. The irony of it all is the Spurs posted the best home record in the NBA a season ago.

Roll the Over

The Spurs have gone over the total in 6 of the last 7, 12 of the last 15, and 17 of their last 21-games. The Spurs have scored 100-points or more in 17 of their last 20-games. Unfortunately they’ve also allowed 100-points or more in 11 of their last 14 contests. The Spurs are 2nd in the NBA with an offensive field goal percentage of 48.5, and are 3rd in the league converting on 39.8% of their three-point attempts.

The Sacramento Kings have gone over the total in the last 5, and 10 of their last 11-games.  They’ve scored 100-points or more in the last 5, and 11 of their last 12-games. Sacramento has also allowed 100-points or more in 15 of their last 19-games. The Kings are 29th in the NBA allowing an average of 103.6 points per game. They’re also the 3rd worst in the league allowing opponents to convert on 39.9% of their three-point attempts.

Hardly a King

The Kings are in last place of the 5-team Pacific Division with a lousy 9-19 record. They’ve the 2nd worst record in the Western Conference, only better than the Utah Jazz. Sacramento hasn’t been very kind to their backers this season covering just 10 of their first 28-games. When you consider the fact that they’ve been an underdog in 20 of 28-games this season, their ATS numbers are atrocious. They do come off a thrilling home overtime 108-103 win versus the Miami Heat on Friday night. However, that was just their 5th win in the last 17-games.

Sunday NBA Picks of the Day

NBA Betting System

Any road underdog of 10.0 or more that’s scored 100-points or more in their last 4-games, versus an opponent that averages 103-points or more per game on the season, has gone 24-5 ATS (82.8%)  since the beginning of the 1996-1997 year. Take Sacramento over San Antonio for your free NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Sacramento +12.0 over San Antonio
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