Bovada has released its 2016/17 NBA Rookie of the year Futures Book odds. Let’s look at the three longshot picks for our NBA Picks to take all the way to the bank.
Bovada Releases its 2016/17 NBA Rookie of the Year Futures Book Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has released its annual NBA Rookie of the Year Futures Book odds for the 2016/17 NBA season, and at first glance, it seems the two names on the bottom of the 18-player list of Rookies may provide the best perceived value and actually have a shot of capturing the prestigious award, being on team who should at least be in the hunt and the last eight teams playing basketball come next May and June.
When handicapping this particular market, it seems a number of things should go into one’s decision(s) if the prospective bettor is not simply putting money down on the guy from your hometown or favorite team selected in the recent NBA Draft or a player who went to the same college you did or plays in a Region of the country in which you’re more familiar. This is what the sportsbooks love, the Futures Book players betting with his or her Heart or Emotion. Blindly dumping on the MLB’s Chicago Cubs (+300 to win WS at BetOnline) despite the fact they haven’t won a World Series since 1908—just 29 years after Alexander Graham Bell had invented the Telephone—when Sports Gambling wasn’t much of a thing. My how times have changed. Can you hear me now? Good. Now go away.
Anyway, looking at (probable and possible) Playing Time, Average Points and/or Rebounds per Game and if a Player plays on a team with a chance of making some noise this year and a market big enough where his accomplishments will be noticed. The Minnesota Timberwolves have had the L2 NBA Rookies of the Year in C Karl-Anthony Towns (Kentucky) and Andrew Wiggins (Kansas). Towns was priced at 7/1 opening odds at Bovada last year while Wiggins opened up as a +750 at Bovada the previous season (2014/15) to win the NBA Rookie of the Year award.
Here are the 18 NBA 2016/17 season Rookie of the Year Futures Book candidates from Bovada and their current updated fresh betting odds. And remember that if someone else (not on this list) wins, they all lose, making odds on a “Field” bet something maybe worth consideration for their oddsmakers somewhere down the line.
2016/17 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds—(Bovada, June 29, 2016)
Ben Simmons, Philadelphia 76ers 3/1 (LSU)
Brandon Ingram, Los Angeles Lakers 6/1 (Duke)
Buddy Hield, New Orleans Pelicans +650 (Oklahoma)
Kris Dunn, Minnesota Timberwolves +750 (Providence)
Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers 12/1 (Kansas)
Denzel Valentine, Chicago Bulls 14/1 (Michigan State)
Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets 14/1 (Kentucky)
Thon Maker, Milwaukee Bucks 16/1 (Canada)
Taurean Prince, Atlanta Hawks 16/1 (Baylor)
Wade Baldwin, Memphis Grizzlies 20/1 (Vanderbilt)
Marquese Chriss, Phoenix Suns 20/1 (Washington)
Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics 20/1 (California)
Dragan Bender, Phoenix Suns 20/1 (Croatia)
Caris LeVert, Brooklyn Nets 20/1 (Michigan)
Malachi Richardson, Sacramento Kings 25/1 (Syracuse)
Brice Johnson, Los Angeles Clippers 25/1 (North Carolina)
Jakob Poeltl, Toronto Raptors 25/1 (Utah)
Domantas Sabonis, Oklahoma City Thunder 25/1 (Gonzaga)
Last 10 NBA Rookie of the Year (College in Parenthesis)
2007—Brandon Roy, Portland Trail Blazers (Washington)
2008—Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City (Texas)
2009—Derrick Rose, Chicago Bulls (Memphis)
2010—Tyreke Evans, Sacramento Kings (Kentucky)
2011—Blake Griffin, Los Angeles Clippers (Oklahoma)
2012—Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers (Duke)
2013—Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers (Weber State)
2014—Michael-Carter Williams, Philadelphia 76ers (Syracuse)
2015—Andrew Wiggins, Minnesota Timberwolves (Kansas)
2016—Karl Anthony-Towns Minnesota Timberwolves (Kentucky)
Conclusion: Two of Longest Odds Candidates Definitely Worth Shots at 25/1
As written about in our NBA Futures Book odds update piece at SBRPicks.com, although the Thunder (7/1 to win NBA Finals, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) dealt Serge Ibaka to the Orlando Magic (100/1 to win NBA Championship, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) on NBA Draft night for Victor Oladipo, Ersan Ilyasova and the Draft Rights to Domantas Sabonis (Gonzaga), the conventional wisdom is that Southern Boy Kevin Durant (28.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 5.0 apg) will end up staying in the Sooner State and in Oklahoma City with fellow superstar Russell Westbrook (23.5 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 10.4 apg) to give it (at least) one more serious go at winning an NBA championship. And with the wonderful evolution this past season of the Thunder’s two big men—Steven Adams (8.0 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.1 bpg) and Enes Kanter (12.7 ppg, 8.1 rpg)—Hope has truly returned to this franchise and it and makes taking a shot on Oklahoma City at 7/1 before the NBA Regular Season tips off (Oct. 25) both a fun and potentially profitable at the Futures Book.
If a team can dominate down low and the Rebounding and Possessions as well as consistently make it hard for opponents to get easy shots near the rim than it forces teams to have to be near-perfect from outside with their shots. And with Adams and Kanter, the Thunder (7/2 to win Western Conference, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) can do that. And adding Indiana product G Oladipo (16.9 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 3.9 apg), Turkish Forward Ersan Ilyasova and the really talented Lithuanian PF/C Sabonis—whose father was NBA legend, Arvydas Sabonis (Portland Trail Blazers) one of the most underrated Passing and shooting Big Men in the history of the NBA, point blank and the period—then Thunder General Manager Sam Presti may have won the year all in one swift day. And the moves may make Durant want to stay in a place he’s already comfortable. Nobody anywhere like moving, bruh. Think about it.
This Thunder Roster could be fairly stacked and with Adams, Kanter, Oladipo and Sabonis (28/1 to win NBA Rookie of the Year, Bovada) all trying to show they can hang and Memories of coming so close to knocking off the Warriors, Oklahoma City really looks like a team to watch, especially if the 27-year-old Durant decides to return—he’s reportedly set to talk with OKC first, with teams unable to talk to Free Agents before 12:01 a.m. on July 1—and Westbrook in the fold with players like 2015 Rookie F Kyle Singler (Duke, 3.4 ppg, 2.1 rpg), SG Andre Roberson (4.8 ppg, 3.6 apg) and 6-10 Turkish PF Ilyasova (10.4 ppg, 5.4 rpg with Bucks in 2015) evolve and get more Playing Time. And workmanlike Gonzaga product Sabonis—who along with Utah product and fellow big man Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors, 25/1 to win NBA Rookie of the Year, Bovada)—could be right in the middle of it all, providing many valuable Points, Rebounds, and Assists, just like his Daddy did. This Sabonis already seems NBA-ready.
2016/17 NBA Rookie of the Year Picks: Domantas Sabonis, Oklahoma City Thunder 28/1, Jakob Poeltl, Toronto Raptors 25/1, Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics 20/1 (at Bovada).