Final Score Prediction & Free NBA Pick On Thunder vs. Spurs

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 2:04 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 2:04 PM GMT

Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and Thunder head to the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Let’s take a look at the L10 games in this series, any Streaks and Trends and come up with a NBA pick.

Odds Overview
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs [Wednesday 01:05] (TNT, FS-Oklahoma, Directv 245, Directv 676 (US) 8:05 p.m. EDT/5:05 p.m. PDT): Tony Parker and the San Antonio Spurs (65-15 SU, 39-1 Home) play host to Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder (54-26 SU, 23-17 Road) to the AT&T Center in San Antonio on Tuesday night in the last game of the NBA Regular Season for the Thunder and a meaningless contest for the Spurs having already sewn up the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. Offshore  NBA odds makers have opened up the host Spurs as 6-point favorites (Heritage) here with the game’s Total (Points) opening up at 206 (Heritage).

 

Oklahoma City Thunder
Heading into play on Monday night, the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-44-1 ATS, 16-24-0 ATS Road) and Head Coach Scott Brooks were still jostling with the Los Angeles Clippers (52-28) for 3rd place in the Western Conference and with a Win over the Los Angeles Lakers at Home at the Chesapeake Energy Center in Oklahoma City on Monday night (FS-Oklahoma, Directv 678, 8:05 p.m. EDT/5:05 p.m. PDT; OKC -15, 213, Heritage), the Thunder could lock down that No. 3 spot.

So, by the time this game tips, Oklahoma City (20/1 to win NBA Title, totesport) may already know they’re in 3rd place and care little about banging bodies with the Spurs in San Antonio and risking any Injuries with Round 1 of the NBA Playoffs tipping off on Saturday. So, this is an awful game in which to try to make sense of Motivation from a team perspective as the Spurs are already in that same apathetic boat. In their last game (before Monday) on Saturday, Oklahoma City lost to the Sacramento Kings, 114-112 in the last game ever at Sleep Train Arena in Sacramento with the Kings moving to the new Golden 1 Center in downtown Sacramento next season.

In the loss, the Thunder were led by those usual suspects Kevin Durant (31 points) and Russell Westbrook (24 points) with Serge Ibaka (11 points) and Enes Kanter (11 points) the only other Oklahoma City players in double-digits. The Thunder led by 8 at the end of the 1st Quarter but a 34-22 Kings 2nd Quarter gave the hosts a 4-point Halftime lead and the chance to send the building out in style with a victory. Sacramento won outright as 8½-point Underdogs with the game edging over the closing posted Total of 225 by just ½ point. Oklahoma City (36-14 vs. Western Conference) had no Injuries to report heading into Monday night’s dribble and Regular Season Home Finale with retiring Kobe Bryant and the Lakers, the last Regular Season game for the 37-year-old future Hall of Famer.

 

San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs (43-37-0 ATS, 23-17-0 ATS Home) and Head Coach Gregg Popovich were dealt a serious slice of Humble Pie on Sunday when Stephen Curry and the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors went into the AT&T Center in San Antonio and handed the Spurs their first Home loss of the season, 92-86. San Antonio had W48 straight Regular Season games at Home before the setback, the Warriors first win in San Antonio since 1997—a 33-game skid. The 34th Road win of the season for Golden State set a new NBA record and the Warriors (72-9) can break Michael Jordan and the 1995/96 Chicago Bulls NBA record-setting 72-10 season with a win against the Grizzlies at Home at the ORACLE Arena on Wednesday night (ESPN, WatchESPN, 10:30 p.m. EDT/7:30 p.m. PDT).

In Sunday’s Loss to Golden State—the Spurs 3rd straight—San Antonio and Popovich sat veteran C Tim Duncan and were without the services of F Boris Diaw who has been sitting out with a Groin Injury and is listed as Probable for this game, although Injuries, Injury Reports and Gregg Popovich is always a confusing and dangerous mix. The Spurs (4/1 to win NBA Championship, Betfair) were led by LaMarcus Aldridge (24 points) and Kawhi Leonard (20 points) but the San Diego State product was just 7-of-22 from the floor as the Warriors took the season series 3-games-to-1 and looked like the much better team, although we never really saw the Spurs totally going at the Warriors with a Playoff mentality in the four Regular Season meetings.

With San Antonio (7-1 ATS L8 Tuesday games, Thunder 1-6 L7 Tuesday games) scuffling, expect a better performance from the Spurs to end the Regular Season for the psychological benefit, although losing here to the Thunder at this point in time wouldn’t matter to Pop or the Spurs (1-4 ATS the L5 on 1 Day Rest), making this an extremely tough handicap. But logic says a team that’s had only lost once since March of 2015 on their own Home-court likely won’t L2 straight, but this the last Regular Season game of the year and basically meaningless for the hosts mathematically.

 

Last 10 Meetings, Series, Side and Total Trends, Logical Reasoning and Pick
In the L10 meetings in this entertaining series, the Thunder are 6-4 ATS and have W3 straight, winning 2 of the last 3 SU, although both Wins were in Oklahoma City. In the L4 games in San Antonio, the Spurs are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS and the Home team is an impressive 17-7-1 ATS the L25 meetings, with the Favorite an equally impressive 18-7-1 ATS the L26 meetings.

But ATS of late, San Antonio has been a money-burner going 0-4 ATS in their L4 Home games, 0-4 ATS in their L4 vs. teams with a winning Percentage of .600 and up, 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. the Western Conference, 0-5 ATS their L5 against the Northwest Division and and 0-6 ATS in their L6 games overall. That’s a lot of 0%’s and losing Spurs tickets. Stink, stank, stunk.

The Under is 13-5 in the Spurs L18 games vs. the Western Conference but the Over is 34-15-2 in the L54 Tuesday San Antonio games, 5-0 ATS the L5 Thunder overall and vs the Western Conference and 4-0 in the L4 Oklahoma City Road games. The Over is also 5-0 in the L5 Thunder games overall but with this being such a meaningless spot on the schedule, it’s hard to see both teams pushing the Pace too much and the total number of Possessions and Field Goal attempts may be down a bit from a normal game due to this potential overall nonchalance. Any luster which may have been here with chances at an undefeated season at Home evaporated with the Warriors win here on Sunday over the Spurs in a game which went well Under that posted Total (205½) by 27½ points.

With San Antonio unlikely to try to engage in a potential shootout with the Thunder and with Oklahoma City content and probably having nothing to gain here, this may end up resembling an exhibition game, depending on what both Head Coaches want out of their teams and no doubt Popovich would probably like to get Duncan and Diaw some valuable minutes before the Postseason tips.

NBA PICKS RECORD LAST WEEK: 1-2

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Free NBA Pick: Under 205
Predicted Final Score: Spurs 92 Thunder 89
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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