Fatten Your Wallet With Our Best O/U NBA Picks On Sunday's Betting Card

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, February 28, 2016 4:49 PM GMT

Sunday, Feb. 28, 2016 4:49 PM GMT

Our handicapper shares his top two NBA picks on Sunday’s card. Go inside to give yourself a sizable advantage when betting these games.

Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons 6:05 PM ET
Toronto is coming off a 99-97 home win over Cleveland on Friday. The Raptors have now allowed 97 points or less in three of its last four games. The Raptors are a slower paced team by NBA standards, averaging 82 field goal attempts per game, and allowing its opponents 81 per outing.

Detroit defeated Central Division rival Milwaukee yesterday by a score of 102-91. It was the sixth time in the last seven games that Detroit stayed under the total. Detroit has allowed its opponents an average of just 80 field goal attempts per contest during their previous five games, and limited them to only 21 free throw tries per outing. Speaking of free throw shooting, Detroit has converted on only 64.5% of its attempts this season, and that’s worst in the NBA.

The current NBA odds boards at 5Dimes clearly give me the best number for this specific wager.

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NHL Pick: Under 202
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks 7:05 PM ET
Both of these teams have been involved in high scoring games of late. Each of their results speaks volumes in regards to Sunday’s total. Minnesota has gone 15-2 over the total in their last seventeen games, and is 9-1 over during its previous ten. Those last ten contests have produced a combined average of 220.6 points scored per game. Dallas has gone over the total in their last seven games, and there was a combined average of 224.7 points scored per contest.

Free throw shooting is often overlooked when handicapping a game, and especially so when it comes to dissecting a total. However, that aspect of this matchup can’t be ignored, and is quite obvious when looking inside the numbers. Minnesota has averaged a mammoth 32 free throw attempts during its last five games, and converted on a stellar 79.9% of those opportunities. On the other hand, Dallas has averaged 30 free throws per outing over its previous five contests, and made an excellent 82.9% of those tries.

Evaluating a team’s three point prowess, or lack of, is always an important part of my NBA handicapping process. When looking at Minnesota pertaining to this aspect, their recent three point shooting, compared to its year to date numbers, were intriguing to say the least. The Timberwolves have been successful on just 32.9% of its attempts for the season. However, during their previous five games, they’ve converted on a terrific 44.9% of its long distance shots. Dallas hasn’t been quite as efficient during their previous five games, but has been very good nonetheless, and has a larger sample size compared to Minnesota in terms of volume. The Mavericks have made 39.1% from three point territory during their last five outings, and have averaged 13 makes per contest. They had twice the amount of attempts, and made an average of six more threes per contest, compared to Minnesota, and that’s based on each team’s last five games.

A miscellaneous factor that I found interesting pertaining to this matchup, involved Minnesota playing with no rest. The Timberwolves are a perfect 8-0 over the total this season when playing a road game with no rest this season. In addition, their last three games overall have averaged a combined 229.0 points scored per outing, and they shot a sizzling hot 50.6% from the field.

This unequivocally has all the earmarks of a high scoring game. It’s just a matter of it playing true to form. I’m banking on that being the case when I make one of my Sunday NBA Picks.

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NHL Pick: Over 214
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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