Fast-Paced Game in Boston, Pick Pacers & Celtics 'Over' 201.5

Charles Stark

Wednesday, November 11, 2015 1:09 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015 1:09 PM GMT

With Boston traveling back home, I'm anticipating them to lack a little on the defensive side and be ready to go up and down with the revamped Indiana Pacers. Check our NBA pick inside.

 

Betting Odds
NBA odds makers have come out with this total across the board at 201.5 and that is the number at most sports books. You can get over the total at regular odds of -110 at 5Dimes. For one of my selection today I will be taking over the total in this spot.

 

Indiana Pacers
Indiana comes in averaging 94.5 points per game, shooting 42.3% from the field, and 35.6% from distance. Without David West or Roy Hibbert this team has focused more on their perimeter play as displayed by their strong three point shooting percentage. Having Paul George back and healthy has been a real boost to this team and adding veteran Monta Ellis solidifies their perimeter. They just have a different mindset to get out and move the ball on the outside with guys that can drive, shoot, and kick. Indiana's top five scores are all guard like players in George, Ellis, George Hill, C.J. Miles, and Rodney Stuckey. Expect these guys to run with a Boston team that likes to get up and down the floor.

Defensively Indiana is allowing 95.9 points per game, 43.7% shooting from the field, and 33.7% shooting from beyond the arc. For how they have embraced small ball more this season they are still playing well on the defensive end and even have been decent defending the paint. They rank in the top 10 in opponent field goals made per game, opponent assist per game, and total points per game. Frank Vogel is still a defense first coach, but tonight I expect an up-tempo game that will put offense first.

 

Boston Celtics
Boston comes in averaging 103.6 points per game, shooting 41.3% from the field, and 31.6% from beyond the arc. They love pushing tempo and her averaging 89.6 attempts from the field per game which ranks third in the NBA. They also are averaging 27.2 shot attempts beyond the arc per game which ranks sixth in the NBA. Isaiah Thomas was most recently quoted, not verbatim, that he believes they played better when they get out and run. I expect they will do that tonight against a Pacers team that likes to run small ball so expect a fast-paced affair.

Defensively Boston is allowing 100.2 points per game, 41.4% shooting from the field, and 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. They are playing much better defense this year as compared to last year and held Milwaukee last night to just 41% shooting from the field. Tonight though coming off a back to back I don't expect them to be as defensively efficient on this end of the floor and I expect the Pacers to put up enough points to help in covering over the total.

Statistically the number on this game on the total line does not really matchup with the combined statistics so far this season. I think the reason for this is odds makers expect an up-tempo game with both these teams scoring regularly. For one of your NBA picks I recommend taking over the total of 201.5 in this matchup with Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics, expect a fast-paced fun game.

NBA Pick: Over 201.5 at BetOnline

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