The Warriors are heavy chalk as they host the Trail Blazers at Oracle Arena in Game 2 of their first-round playoff matchup on Wednesday night. Are the markets right? Find out here.
Following the Warriors’ 121-109 victory over the Trail Blazers on Sunday in Game 1 of the first-round playoff matchup, Portland small forward Moe Harkless chimed “We know we can play with them. We know we can beat these guys. We feel like they know it, too.” Harkless and company had the game in reach with the score 88-88 after the third quarter but will have to find a way to tame one of the best regular season squads in NBA history late. The Warriors outscored Portland 33-21 in the fourth. In five meetings this year, the average second-half score is 62.8-51.2 in Golden State’s favor.
CJ McCollum decimated the Warriors’ best perimeter defender Klay Thompson in Game 1, dropping 41 points on 16-for-28 shooting, a playoff career-high. Golden State head coach Steve Kerr was forced to make a switch early in the contest. The NBA’s Most Improved Player winner averages 26.0 points against the Warriors this season. Look for another solid effort in Game 2.
Golden State’s Game 1 victory was the first time it failed to cover a spread against the Trail Blazers since 2013 after beating them from the 3-point line. Previously, it was 11-0 ATS; 2-7 when out-shot from the area. Draymond Green and Steph Curry led the way with a trio of treys each, the team draining 11-of-27 overall at a .407 rate. Portland shot 11-for-30 from the area (.367). Expect execution in the area to be the difference-maker yet again versus the number in Game 2.
When McCollum and star point guard Damian Lillard combine to score 30 points or more against the Warriors, the OVER is 12-2, averaging 233.2 points per game against a 217.9 average total. All five meetings this year have seen the scoreboard reach 224 points or more. Go back to the well against the matchup’s lowest over/under set this season with a lean to a Trail Blazers cover. Over 220 is the NBA pick for this one.