Expect Defenses to Keep Nets-Thunder Matchup Under Total

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, January 23, 2018 4:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2018 4:28 PM UTC

Brooklyn has a 10-2-1 ATS record in its past 13 games heading into Tuesday's matchup with Oklahoma City. Let's try to find the best betting value for your NBA picks.

Tuesday NBA: Nets vs. Thunder

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Free NBA Pick: Under 213½Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

With the Nets getting healthier and with no reason to tank, they are going to try and finish out the season strong. They will likely not make the playoffs, but they are going to play tough every night, and that includes a big game tonight against the Thunder.

OKC has won four straight and is 3-1 ATS during that stretch. However, while the point spread of -10 is somewhat of a fade altogether, the total of 213½ on the NBA odds board seems like a strong under wager once you dive into it.

The Nets’ offense has never been very good, but their defense has actually been improving. Brooklyn is allowing just 106.6 points per game over their last five, and other than getting beaten up by the Wizards on the second night of a back-to-back, the Nets’ road defense hasn’t been bad as of late.

On the other side you have the rested Thunder, who have had two days off. When that has happened this season, OKC is 6-4 cashing the under. On top of that, these teams have combined to cash the under at 23-14 this season in non-conference games. And considering the Thunder’s defense, I like their chances of holding the Nets to fewer than 100 points.

Even though they gave up a ton of points recently to the Cavs, the Thunder had cashed the under in four straight before that game, and their defense was allowing only 93.2 points per game in those four.

Considering the Thunder are 14-9 cashing the under at home and 6-4 cashing the under in their last 10 at home, with my NBA picks I like the under tonight if both defenses show up to play.

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