Eastern Conference Season Win Totals Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions

Eastern Conference

Zack Jones

Thursday, October 12, 2017 7:38 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 12, 2017 7:38 PM GMT

This year's Eastern Conference might not stack up the West in terms of raw talent, but when it comes to Season Win Total betting value, the East has plenty to offer. We take a quick look at each team, the changes they made in the offseason and the odds on offer to help you determine if they will fall over or under the bar set by the bookies.

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ALL ODDS FROM BOVADAAtlanta Hawks Over 25.5

In: Miles Plumlee, Marco Belinelli, Dewayne Dedmon 
Gone: Dwight Howard, Paul Millsap, Tim Hardaway Jr., Thabo Sefolosha

Atlanta looked like a team on the rise a few years back when they posted 60 wins in the 2014-15 season, but we all knew that big changes had to be made if they ever wanted to make it past the Conference Finals matchup (swept by Cavaliers in 2014-15). 

With the Dwight Howard homecoming experiment (failure) now behind them, and having lost Paul Millsap to the Nuggets, the Hawks look to begin the rebuilding process.

This team did win 43 games last year, but their roster has taken a major hit and this is clearly reflected by the Over/Under of 25.5 on offer at most online betting shops. That being said… are the bookies undervaluing the power of this roster?

This team has made the playoffs in each of the past ten seasons, and head coach Mike Budenholzer has never led the Hawks to anything poorer than a 38 win season. Guard Dennis Schroder does have the talent to help lead this team against weaker competition leading me to think that coaching and undervalued talent alone should be enough to push this Hawks team over the 2nd lowest win total bar in the Eastern Conference. 

 

Boston Celtics Under 56.5

In: Kyrie Irving, Gordon Hayward, Marcus Morris, 3rd pick Jayson Tatum, Arron Baynes.
Gone: Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley, Jae Crowder, Kelly Olynik.

Ahh, the team everyone is talking about. It seems so easy to love what is going on in Boston, as the list of new toys at Brad Steven’s disposal read like the start of a great fantasy team. Then a quick look at the ‘Gone’ list brings you back down to earth a bit. And for those of you who thought loyalty mattered in the NBA, Boston’s decision to part ways with Isaiah Thomas proved just how much of a business this league is.

Despite winning 53 games last year, Boston released all but two members of its roster this offseason in hopes to one-up last year’s performance and compete for the Eastern Conference Title. Currently, the owner of the highest win total projection in the East, Boston does appear to be the best team in the conference to ‘Win Now’.

While we are yet to see if the selection of Jason Tatum over Lonzo Ball was indeed the correct decision, you can't help but love the combo of Hayward and Irving. 

I am going with the Under here, as I feel that this team has lost its defensive identity, and while they do have firepower, this new roster will take some time to gel. 

The weapons are there, and the Celtics can be one of the key players by the trade deadline in hopes of giving them an edge over the Cavs. I like this team to get hot a few weeks into the season, but that slow start ultimately keeps them under 56.5 wins.

 

Brooklyn Nets Under 27.5

In: D'Angelo Russell, Allen Crabbe, DeMarre Carroll, Timofey Mozgov
Gone: Brook Lopez, Randy Foye.

While this team did pick up players with some sort of name recognition, it is clear that this team still lacks direction. D’Angelo Russell and Allen Crabbe have shown flashes of brilliance, and maybe the exit from LA will give Russell a chance to come into his own. 

That being said, expect Mozgov to play too many minutes and ultimately become a burden rather than an asset, and Jeremy Linn comes with injury concerns. 

This team only recorded seven wins on the road last year and none of the moves made over the summer convinced me that we should expect anything more. 

Worst team in the East right here, and even hitting 27.5 wins should be a victory for Nets fans.. if they exist.

 

Charlotte Hornets Over 42.5

In: Dwight Howard, Michael Carter Williams
Gone: Marco Belinelli, Miles Plumlee

We have a young and talent-packed roster here, and bookies are asking them to pick up 6 more wins than the 36 they recorded last season. The addition of Dwight Howard does come with its headaches, but he does manage to produce points and rebounds at a consistent enough rate to make him an asset to this team. Rookie Malik Monk has seemed a few starts in the preseason and shows some promise early on.

We all know just how weak the Eastern Conference is this year, and I would not be surprised to see this team sneak into the playoffs. 

 

Chicago Bulls Under 21.5

In: Zack Lavine, Kriss Dunn
Gone: Dwyane Wade, Jimmy Butler, Rajon Rondo, Michael Carter-Williams

Did I just say that the Nets were the worst team in the NBA? Sorry… how could I forget about the Chicago Bulls? 

Wait, I know why. Because this is truly a forgettable team. Horrible, anger evoking offseason moves, and horrible front office decision-making skills. 

The NBA recently changed the draft lottery rules as they regard to tanking, and with the rules going into effect next season, the Bulls are going to do their best to race to the bottom. 

This is a team going nowhere fast, and to be honest, I feel like I've said too much about them already. I will most likely not watch this team play and simply try to remember the Derrick Rose MVP year Bulls whenever the name comes up. 

Moving on… 

 

Cleveland Cavaliers Under 53.5

In: Isiah Thomas, Derrick Rose, Dwyane Wade, Jae Crowder, Jose Calderon, Jeff Green.
Gone: Kyrie Irving, Deron Williams, Derrick Williams.

I recently put together a detailed preview with my Cleveland Cavaliers’ Win Total Projections but will paraphrase a bit here. 

After an interesting start to the offseason, Kobe Altman managed to pull off some magic and bring in some new assets to place around LeBron James. LeBron and Wade already have proven chemistry, and D. Rose, while injury-plagued, is a former MVP. 

With Isaiah Thomas most likely returning after the All-Star Break, this is a team that is packed full of big names but will likely see a few different lineups throughout the season. 

It won't take much to earn the 1st or 2nd seed in the East, and a Celtics-Cavs Eastern Conference Finals seems like a sure bet. Cleveland has the time to play with options and figure out which lineups work best to compete with the Warriors in a best-of-seven series. 

I like the Under here, as this team knows that they will be playing in June, and simply need to remain healthy and prepared for their inevitable clash with the Warriors.

 

Detroit Pistons Under 38.5

In: Avery Bradley, Anthony Tolliver
Gone: Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

This is a team that has only made the playoffs once in the last eight season, and at this point, ‘Pistions’ should be listed as a synonym for the word ‘Disappointing’.

Stan Van Gundy has failed miserably at updating his team’s style to match the modern NBA style of play, and after signing Andre Drummond and Reggie Jackson to questionable max deals, this team is extremely restricted as to what moves it can make. 

If it came down to watching the Bulls vs. Pacers or ‘Dancing with the Stars’, I might simply opt to throw myself off the tallest building in sight. 

 

Indiana Pacers Over 31.5

In: Bojan Bogdanovic, Darren Collison, Victor Oladipo, Domantas Sabonis, Corey Joseph.
Gone: Paul George, Monta Ellis, CJ Miles, Jeff Teague

What can we say here? Sure, Oladipo might be overpaid, but he is a talented addition here. Miles Turner also can expect to take on a larger role here now that Paul George and Jeff Teague are not around to gee the touches. 

While this team isn't packed full of star power, they do have some depth that can easily be overlooked.

This isn't a team that will make a lot of noise, but you won't have to turn too many heads to top 31.5  in the East.

 

Miami Heat Under 43.5

In: Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo
Gone: Chris Bosh, Willie Reed, Josh McRoberts

We can go ahead and give Pat Riley the Miss Congeniality award for the landmark offseason, as while he courted many of the big names up for grabs, he failed to land any. 

This team is in an identity crisis, and I expect them to be sellers come to the trade deadline. Goran Tragic could be the one chip Riley has in his reach that could give him a tool to start the rebuilding process. 

Oh, how the mighty have fallen…

 

Milwaukee Bucks Over 47.5

In: Gerald Green, Brandon Rush.
Gone: Michael Beasley

Two words for you. Gianni's Antetokunmpo. 

Yes, I know that sounded a bit longer than just two words, and while you might not be able to pronounce his name now, highlight reels will have us all saying it in our sleep but the time the season is over. (MVP Sleeper?)

This team returns with the same roster that earned them a playoff spot last season, but with the young Duke star, Jabari Parker (ACL tear) not expected to return until February, this team might fall short of last year’s mark. 

This team does bring a bit of added experience to the table this year, but injuries and Jason Kidd’s track record push me to the Under.

 

New York Knicks Under 30.5

In: Enes Kanter, Tim Hardaway, Michael Beasley, Doug McDermott 
Gone: Carmelo Anthony, Derrick Rose, Justin Holiday.

Whats not to love about Kristaps Porzingis? I see the young star coming into his own this season as the one true star on this team’s roster. But while Porzingis is busy piling up his stats in hopes of attracting suitors, the rest of this franchise appears to be in shambles.

It’s amazing to think that separating yourself from Carmelo Anthony and Phil Jackson would be a blessing to anyone.

Sleepless in Seattle? Hopeless in New York.

 

Orlando Magic Under 33.5

In: Arron Afflalo, Jonathon Simmons, Marreese Speights
Gone: Jeff Green, Jodie Meeks

Do you believe in Magic? Hell naw.

Don't be fooled by some of the familiar names on the roster. This team just flat out can't shoot.

Not to sound like John Madden, but the team who scores the most points tends to win the game. The ball must fall into the hoop to earn points. I am not convinced that this team can perform the described action regularly enough to outscore another team 34 times between now and April. 

 

Philadelphia 76ers Under 41.5

In: J.J. Reddick, Amir Johnson, 1st pick Markelle Fultz 
Gone: Sergio Rodriguez, Gerald Henderson

Forget all of the talk about ‘Trusting the Process’, I’m all amped about the addition of JJ Roddick here. 

The City of Brotherly love now holds the rights to some of the best, most talked about talent in the league. The only problem is that we haven't really seen any of them post big minutes. 

Joel Embiid is listed as healthy, and DAMN did he look good against the Nets the other night. 22 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists and a block in 15 minutes. 

CUE THE TAPE!

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Joel Embiid puts up 22 PTS & 7 REBS in 14 minutes of action for the @sixers in his #NBAPreseason debut! pic.twitter.com/RqO9Iitil1

— NBA (@NBA) October 12, 2017
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Ben Simmons is set to return, and new kid on the block Markell Fultz is poised prove that he deserved to be the pick of the litter from this year’s draft class.

With all of this talent, you can’t help but be excited, but given the lack of experience shared by these three, JJ Roddick can not only fill in as a lethal three-point threat but as the voice of veteran experience on this team. 

Injuries and experience are my biggest concern here, and I can’t trust all three players to stay healthy. Even if healthy, I envision that this group will take time to hold together, and the bright lights of fame might prove to shine a bit too bright from time to time. 

I'm excited to watch this team play, and I am pulling for the Over, but my money is going the other way.

 

Toronto Raptors Under 48.5

In: C.J Miles
Gone: DeMarre Carroll, Patrick Patterson, Cory Joseph, P.J. Tucker 

This Raptors team is essentially the same team we saw them put on the floor last season, which was good enough for 51 last year. It is also worth nothing that they haven't fallen under 48 wins since 2013. 

While I did mention that this team mostly appears unchanged on paper, the loss of Cory Joseph gives their bench depth a major hit.

As much as I like the sound of Lowry, DeRozan, and Ibaka, I am expecting this team to regress slightly to the point that they fall just short of the 49 win mark. Sportsbooks seem to have this one pegged just right, and if I had to bet, my money would go on the Under.

 

Washington Wizards Over 47.5 

In: Tim Frazier, Jodie Meeks.
Gone: Bojan Bogdanovic, Trey Burke, Brandon Jennings

After a 2-8 start to the season, the Wizards managed to end the year with 49 wins thanks to a 17 home game winning streak (snapped by the Cavaliers in overtime).

Led by John Wall, Bradley Beal and Otto Porter, this Wizards team showed promise with it’s starting five but lacked the depth needed to compete in postseason play. 

Early looks at this team show improved play coming off of the Washington bench, and with coach Scott Brooks starting to see his influence come through in his squads playing, you have to feel confident that this is a team on the rise.

Add all of this to the fact that many teams in the East have their share of issues, I will take this young, talented and healthy team to pull off 48 wins this season.

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