East Meets West: 'Over' The Sharp NBA Pick On Pacers vs. Pelicans

Charles Stark

Friday, January 8, 2016 5:39 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 8, 2016 5:39 PM UTC

Eastern Conference meets Western Conference when the Indiana Pacers visit the New Orleans Pelicans with two of the best players in the NBA colliding in Paul George and Anthony Davis.

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NBA Pick: Over 204
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


Pacers vs. Pelicans
NBA odds have come out with the total for this game at 206 and the spread making the Pacers favorite by 2 points . This totals seems set right in accordance with the statistics but these teams should get up and down all night. Recently they have been going under the total quite a bit which is just another reason for my selection 


Indiana Pacers
Indiana is averaging 102.2 points per game while shooting 44.2% from the field and allowing 98.4 points per game on 44% shooting from the field. I am still surprised about Indiana on several fronts including the reemergence of Paul George, and their complete overhaul of an offensive system. As far as totals go, on the year they are just 15-20 on the year and 3-7 in their last 10 games on the over under total lines. However, they are 10-8 on their over under totals on the road. They have really worked their way out of last year's funk from being a more interior orientated team to one that can score from all around the perimeter. Indiana is averaging 36.5% from beyond the arc an average 24.6 attempts from distance per game. As well offensively they're pushing pace a lot more and turning their defense into offense by getting out in transition more effectively than last season ranking seventh in the league in fast-break points per game. With the way they like to run it should match up well with the New Orleans team that will try to get up and down as well. Defensively Indiana is still solid but they're facing a team tonight that is one of the best scoring home teams in the NBA. The Pacers have been good all across the board and rank sixth in both scoring defense and opponent three point shooting percentage at just 32.2% per contest. Still, they seem to get out and run with teams that like to run so I expect the pace to be really up-tempo tonight.


New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is averaging 101.4 points per game while shooting 44.5% from the field, and allow 106.2 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field. They are in a good bounce back spot after losing to the Mavericks at home in their last game, and on the year they have put up a lot of points at home. In New Orleans they average over 106 points per game which ranks third in the NBA and basically all of their offensive statistics go up. Surprisingly on the year the Pelicans are 12-21 on the over under total line, and like Indiana just 3-7 in their last 10 games. At home though they are 10-5 on their over under totals which makes sense considering how much better they play on their own court. For the most part offensively New Orleans ranks in the upper middle part of the league in three-point shooting percentage, overall shooting percentage, shooting efficiency, and field-goal attempts per game. As mentioned though, all of these statistics go up significantly at home. Defensively they have been playing a little bit better recently, but they still rank as one of the worst statistically and opponent three-point shooting percentage, opponent shooting efficiency, and opponent field goals made per game. They started off the year with a lot of injuries, but that aspect is starting to get better although it looks like they will have to wait until next year to make any sort of playoff run.


Final Analysis
Combined these two teams are 27-41 on their over under totals for the season and 6-14 in their last 10 games. The way these two teams can get up and down the floor though makes me believe they will go against this current trend and put a lot of points up tonight. For one of your NBA picks I recommend backing the over in what should be a fun one in New Orleans.


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