Early Season NBA Betting Trends

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, November 29, 2014 2:38 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 29, 2014 2:38 PM UTC

As we start up the NBA action once again tonight after a hiatus on Thanksgiving, there are some interesting teams and trends emerging. To help get a better grip on the NBA Odds heading into December, let’s look at some early season trends that could help your NBA Picks. 

ATS Trends
Currently the biggest surprises in the early season ATS numbers is a few West teams. The Blazers, Warriors and Kings are the three best West teams ATS this season, and al three of them have already cashed at a rate of 2:1 or better compared to their losses.  While this likely won’t keep up for the entire season, it may be good to get your hands on some undervalued NBA Odds with these Western Conference teams. The Warriors look like a legitimate Western Conference Finals contender, while the Blazers and Kings are looking a lot better than most suggested this offseason, leading them to be undervalued and a good play in the NBA Odds.

Some teams that are not living up to the hype include the Clippers and Bulls. These two teams were considered title contenders at the start of the season, but injuries in Chicago, and inconsistent play in LA has made these two teams questionable, and way overvalued. The Clippers are currently 4-10 ATS through their first 14 games, while the Bulls aren’t much better at 5-10 ATS. I think both will pick it up some, and hopefully you haven’t been too heavy on either team to start the season.


Pacers still in hunt?
One of the biggest surprises both SU and ATS this young season has been the Indiana Pacers. Sure, they play in the East, but they are also 7-0 ATS on the year on the road, and without Paul George, David West and George Hill all season, they are still only 6-9 SU, and in the hunt for the playoffs still in the East. As long as those guys can come back within the next month or two, this team will be in the playoffs in the Eastern Conference, and they won’t be an easy out. The Pacers are also 9-5-1 ATS on the year, so while they haven’t been great at home, they should continue to be an undervalued ATS play in the NBA Odds until their starters start to come back.


Will Sixers win a game?
This is probably the biggest question in the East right now. The answer however is unknown. This team is 0-15 SU right now, however they are only 6-9 ATS, and they are starting to play better. Even though they likely won’t win in November, they have some winnable games coming up in the beginning and middle of December. However this team likely won’t win more than 10 games this season, and will easily grab the top NBA Odds to win the lottery in the spring. However the Sixers have covered two of their last three NBA Odds, so watch out because they could be undervalued over the next week or two.


Other notable trends
The East has some more surprises this season like the Milwaukee Bucks. Jason Kidd has turned this team around, and they are playing good defense, and quickly emerging as a good and young offensive team. They are 4-0 ATS as home favorites this season, and 11-5 ATS on the year, which makes them the most profitable team in the East to start the season. This is a trend that could continue as well. They have depth and can run, and they are long and athletic on the defensive end. After being one of the worst teams in the NBA last season, the Bucks are quickly gaining traction, and could be a solid NBA pick going forward. 

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