Don't Expect Offensive Explosion when Reeling Mavericks Visit Suns

mavs suns matchup

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, January 31, 2018 4:47 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2018 4:47 PM UTC

The Mavericks, losers of four straight, are on their way to tanking this season. They are road favorites against the Suns tonight, but that might not be where the best value is for your NBA picks.

Wednesday NBA: Mavericks vs. SunsFree NBA Pick: Under 210½Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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The Suns’ defense is far from good, but their offense might also be hurting tonight if Devin Booker, their best player, can’t play. Booker missed Monday’s game with a rib contusion and he is in danger of missing tonight with the Suns tanking away as well.

With Booker off the court this season, the Suns' offense has struggled some, but it’s their defense that actually gets a little better. According to Basketball Reference, the Suns’ defense goes from allowing 114.4 points per 100 possessions to 110.5 with Booker out.

On top of that is the suddenly slow-paced Mavericks team. After starting to play quicker in December and early January, the Mavs have slowed things back lately, playing at a pace of just 93.8 possessions per game over their last five games.

That has led to the "under" cashing in all five of those games. And considering the final score was 97-91 the first time these teams met this season, I expect another low-scoring game.

Phoenix is 13-8 cashing the under this season when playing as home dogs, and these teams are a combined 39-21-1 cashing the under this season in conference games.

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