Dog to Cover in Kings vs. Knicks: NBA Picks

Doug Upstone

Monday, January 26, 2015 3:32 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 26, 2015 3:32 PM UTC

This time of year, on this particular day, on the Worldwide Leader, it is known as Big Monday. The only element ‘Big’ about this contest is someone could win big money versus the NBA odds.

Chances are this will not be the lead story in Sports Center tonight; nonetheless, every NBA basketball handicapper will do their due diligence when reviewing the betting and determine if this is a potential play. We here at Sports Book will do the same to help you out.


Kings Back to Being Court Jesters
If you want to understand why the Sacramento Kings (16-27, 17-23-3 ATS) are annually one the worst teams in the NBA, you do not need a wide array of statistical data. Oh sure, you could create an e-book to go into detail about everything wrong this franchise has done, but the fact remains this is an uncomplicated story.

Beginning this season and looking into the Kings recent history of how many points they allow, here in order are their rankings in the NBA: Sacramento is 26th this season, 22nd, 30th, 30th and 25th the last five seasons.

You don’t have to be a basketball savant or a stats guru to comprehend it is going to be a challenge to win in the NBA without a greater commitment to defense.

Some will say Sacramento is a young team and it takes time, but this franchise has not shown one iota if stability and Tyrone Corbin is Sacramento’s sixth different head coach since 2007. The Kings have lost six in a row, conceding 107.8 points per game in the process and oh by the way, ranks last in offensive assists. Not a pretty picture.


The Knicks are EnFuego!
I apologize for the ol’ Dan Patrick line, but after losing 16 in a row, New York (8-37, 17-27-1 ATS) has won three of four and covered the spread in each instance.

The truth is nobody is being fooled into believing the Knicks are actually going to turn their season around and play even .500 basketball the rest of the way.

While basketball bettors concern themselves today with making their NBA picks, pick up any New York paper today and among the top stories is how all the Knicks brass and Carmelo Anthony were at yesterday’s St. John’s and Duke game, not necessarily to see Coach K pick up win No.1000, but rather to speculate how Jahlil Okafor might look in a blue and orange uniform next season.

What Knickerbockers fans want to know is how the lottery can be rigged (allegedly), like when they were able to choose Patrick Ewing many moons ago.

The Knicks playing better basketball, who cares, “how do we get this Duke kid” is what New Yorker’s really want to know.


Betting Odds and Head to Head
Despite Sac-Town’s losing streak, sportsbooks made the Kings a three-point favorite and they have been lifted to -4.5, with Anthony not a 100 percent certain to go tonight. Oddly, with this information, the total actually rose slightly from 199 to 199.5.

Dating back 17 seasons, New York is 10-7 and 9-8 ATS at Madison Square Garden against the Kings. Phil Jackson’s assembled group lost at Sacramento 135-129 as six-point underdogs two days after Christmas and the Knicks are 3-13 ATA playing into road revenge this campaign.


This is the second of five away games for DeMarcus Cousins and the fella’s and before the Super Bowl they will be in Toronto, Cleveland and Indiana.

This will be the only time the Kings will be a favorite and this might be the best opportunity to use them with sports picks. Having lost at Golden State on Friday, Sacramento is 4-4 and 2-6 ATS with two days between outings.

New York returns to action on Wednesday against Oklahoma City, in Indiana the next night and host the Lakers on Sunday. This also should be the Knicks best chance the rest of the month to pick victory and they are 11-15-1 ATS (4-23 SU) with one day off.


The Choice
The uncertainy of Carmelo makes this an uneasy pick, but I’ll back the home team with the points who is actually playing better basketball at the moment.

Sacramento is a dismal 2-10 ATS against the East and 2-11 ATS after two or more non-covers.

NBA Basketball Free Pick: New York +4.5 at the Greek

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