Despite Utah's Recent Sucess, Take Blazers ATS as Our NBA Pick

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, January 13, 2016 4:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 13, 2016 4:55 PM UTC

Let’s review what the NBA odds makers are offering and make some money in our NBA picks tonight. As the Utah Jazz will visit the Portland Trail-Blazers, who will win tonight?

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NBA Pick: Blazers -2½ 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Utah Jazz (17-20 SU, 20-15-2 ATS)
The highway has not been kind to the Jazz recently as they were mired in a seven-game road losing streak until they flew to Los Angeles Sunday night, installed as three-point favorites by the NBA odds, and not only snapped out of their road funk with a 86-74 victory but also cashed for all those who backed Utah in their NBA picks. Former Butler product Gordon Hayward led the way for the Jazz with 25 points while teammate Trey Lyles tallied nine rebounds in Utah’s first win away from home since beating the Clippers on the same court back on November 25th.

Utah comes into this clash with the Trailblazers without having any player post double digits in assists since the season began. Not surprisingly then the Jazz are dead last in assists per game averaging only 18 per contest. Offensively the team has been challenged as well averaging only 96.4 points per game which ranks them 27th of 30 NBA teams. However, defense has been the lone bright spot in a dismal season as the team is holding opponents to just 96.7 points per game which ranks them 5th in the league.


Portland Trailblazers (16-24 SU, 20-20 ATS)
Portland’s sharpshooters were on point in their last game knocking down a season-best 19 three-point shots en route to a 115-110 stunner over the visiting Thunder. In a sea of superstars point guard Damian Lillard shone brightest as he recorded a game high 31 points and for the third time in his relatively short career made eight 3-pointers. Klay Thompson of Golden State and Damian Lillard are the only active players with 700 or more three-pointers in their first four seasons. The team’s 44 three-point attempts were the most in Blazers’ franchise history.

The Blazers have been pedestrian his season offensively averaging 101.3 points per game which ranks them 14th in the league while their defense has been porous allowing opponents to average 103.1 points per game which places them 22nd in the NBA. However, rebounding has been their strong suit as the team has averaged 46 per game, good for 5th in the league with former Duke center Mason Plumlee leading the pack eight per contest while Ed Davis is close behind averaging 7.2 boards per game. Plumlee grabbed 11 rebounds in the team’s victory over the Thunder.


Betting Analysis
This is the third of four matchups this season between the Northwest division foes with both prior games played in Utah and the teams splitting thus far both straight up and against the spread. In their last game the Jazz avenged an earlier loss with a 109-96 victory. The venue now shifts to Portland where the Jazz have thrived going 3-1 straight up and ATS over the last four matchups.

Big man Rudy Gobert has returned for the Jazz after an 18 game absence and has played well but still trying to shake off the rust. Derrick Favors, Utah’s second leading scorer hopes to be in uniform tonight after dealing with a back injury and missing 10 games as a result. Nevertheless the high flying sharpshooters are absolutely on fire for Portland and I highly doubt the Jazz will be able to keep pace. The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games while the Trailblazers are 9-4 ATS over their last 13 home games against teams with a losing record like the Jazz. Despite Utah’s recent success against Portland I will side the Blazers here.

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