Counterpoint: Rockets Lift Off, Warriors Crash in Game 1 of West Finals

rockets warriors

Swinging Johnson

Friday, May 11, 2018 2:27 PM UTC

Friday, May. 11, 2018 2:27 PM UTC

The matchup everyone has waited for and deemed inevitable is about to go down on Monday night. Let’s review the NBA odds board for Game 1 of the West Finals between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets.

Monday's Game 1: Warriors (38-51-3 ATS) at Rockets (47-43-2 ATS)Free NBA Pick: RocketsBest Line Offered: BetPhoenix

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3468648, "sportsbooksIds":[1389,999996,169,238,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

  • Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Houston is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on three or more days rest.
  • Houston is 4-0 ATS in their last four when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Golden State is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Golden State is 7-17 ATS in their last 24 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Golden State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Here is your Western Conference Finals schedule.

Sign up to be a Rockets Insider for playoff presales at https://t.co/Z0cI0QRyP1. pic.twitter.com/4MJVKy3NAr

— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) May 9, 2018
\n\n"}[/]

The Warriors and Rockets will meet for this season’s NBA championship – er – Western Conference Finals. *wink wink* Golden State rolls into Houston off the heels of a 4-1 series victory over the Pelicans, while the Rockets will greet their guests Monday after defeating the Jazz by the identical 4-1 margin in the Western Conference semifinals. It’s a battle of the titans to be sure, and during the season the Rockets won two of their three meetings with the Warriors, the most recent being a 116-108 victory in January at the Toyota Center.

Despite the fact that the Warriors trot out a veritable All-Star team as their starting unit, the main players are Golden State’s Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant vs. Houston’s James Harden and Chris Paul. It’s the NBA’s version of the X-Men vs. The Avengers, but we know the superheroes in this story will do their thing, get their points and make highlight reels before the game is through. The real story is how the Rockets will match up against Klay Thompson and Draymond Green, both All-Stars in their own right. However, the Rockets have tweaked this year’s edition to contend with the likes of a prolific offensive unit like Golden State when they signed PJ Tucker to bolster its defense and added Chris Paul to boost their offense. The plan has worked, and with Clint Capela closing down lanes to the basket it should succeed against the Warriors not only in Game 1 but in the series as well.

Unfortunately, there are others who refuse to see the light because they are blinded by the celebrity that is Golden State. One such handicapper is my learned colleague Doug Upstone who views the Warriors in the same way a star-struck teen gazes hypnotically at Justin Bieber – lovingly, longingly, and hopelessly devoted. When a grown man has an 8 x 10 glossy of Steph Curry taped to his bedroom wall, there’s a problem. Therefore, when Mr. Upstone advises you, as he will in our point/counterpoint series of this conference final matchup, to back the Warriors in your NBA picks, my suggestion is to fade him like a James Harden jump shot.

A quick check of the NBA odds board reveals the Rockets laying a paltry 1½ points at most of the industry’s best online sportsbooks. Betting the Warriors is square biz all the way, but Doug is the first lemming walking over that cliff and he wants to take you as well. Say no to Doug’s reckless infatuation with the defending world champs and get sharp by backing Houston in Game 1 of this marquee matchup.

Doug Likes The Biebs ... And The Warriors In Game 1. Read Why
comment here