Counterpoint: Celts a Sure Bet at Home in Game 7

Saturday, May 26, 2018 9:27 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 26, 2018 9:27 PM UTC

There’s no place like home as evidenced by the fact that the home team has won and covered in all six games of this Eastern Conference Finals matchup. The series finale occurs on Sunday night so let’s check out the NBA odds board and determine if this trend stays true or not.

<p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Game 7, here we come. &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Boston Celtics (@celtics) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;May 26, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Live Odds For This Game"><strong>Cavaliers (61-38 SU, 39-58-2 ATS) vs. Celtics (66-34 SU, 60-36-4 ATS)</strong></a></h2><p style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3468857, "sportsbooksIds":[1389,19,169,139,93], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Pick: Celtics -1 ½</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: at BetPhoenix</strong></h2><h2> </h2><p><strong>What’s Trending</strong></p><ul> <li>Boston is 9-2 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more.</li> <li>Boston is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.</li> <li>Boston is 4-1 ATS in their last five Sunday games.</li> <li>Cleveland 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.</li> <li>Cleveland is 8-12 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.</li> <li>Cleveland is 6-7 ATS in Sunday games.</li></ul><p>In the interest of full disclosure, I fully admit that I was more than enthusiastic about the Celtics’ chances in Cleveland on Friday night. That’s right, unlike my buddy and SBR colleague Doug Upstone, I actually believed the Celts would not only cover the number but even advised my readers to toss a few bucks on Boston on the money line in their <a href="">NBA picks</a>. Hindsight being 20/20, that was not such a good read as Boston fell to LeBron – er, check that – Cleveland by the score of 109-99. But the ol’ kick in the cajones was that the Celtics outscored the Cavaliers in two of the four quarters, tied the other but got wrecked in the second quarter when Cleveland exploded for 34 points to Boston’s 18. That was the game right there and LeBron appears to be the Tom Brady of basketball as he continues to put up staggering numbers despite his 15 years in the NBA.</p><p>If you’ve even been casually following this series you know that the home team has not only won but covered each and every one of the six games thus far. I decided to buck that trend in Game 6 but the trend bucked me (yes, I said bucked although I didn’t want to) and stand at a pedestrian 3-3 ATS against my partner, Doug Upstone, in this Eastern Conference Finals point/counterpoint series. Doug was prescient enough to back the Cavs at home on Friday night but now he is the one bucking the trend and selecting the road team to cover the number. Well, I have learned my lesson because as good as these teams look at home they are not nearly as formidable on the highway. Boston head coach Brad Stevens will have all hands-on deck covering LeBron and I will reiterate that a team of very good players will ultimately defeat one herculean performer.</p><p>The <a href="">NBA odds</a> board reveals that the Celtics are favored by 1 ½ at BetPhoenix and -2 just about everywhere else as of this Saturday morning writing. Personally, I don’t see anything changing. Despite losing by 10 points in Game 6 the Celtics had just one bad quarter and it is reported Cleveland’s Kevin Love may have sustained a concussion in his meeting of the minds with Jayson Tatum on Friday night and is questionable for Game 7. If you like trends – see above – but also note that Boston is 37-0 in series in which they led 2-0 as in this one. Can LeBron single-handedly defeat his opponent again? Well, he’s been doing it throughout the postseason but he won’t do it in Boston. You can bet on it.</p>
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