Confidently Place Your NBA Pick on the Rockets -8 ATS Over Suns

Steven Suarez

Saturday, March 21, 2015 2:36 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 21, 2015 2:36 PM UTC

James Harden is coming off a career night and we're eager to see if he can keep it going tonight against the Suns. We've broken down the NBA odds and think we have a good read on where to go.

Odds Overview
To no one's surprise, the Rockets are heavy favorites on the NBA odds for tonight's home game against Phoenix. They've been playing well, particularly when at home, and while the Suns have won two in a row themselves, they haven't been nearly as convincing.

Get ready for another up-tempo game involving Houston tonight, especially since the Suns like to push the pace too. The O/U is listed at 207 points right now, which is easily the highest number on the board. There are going to be a lot of scorers out there on the court this evening, so we wouldn't be surprised to see the OVER hit despite the high O/U.

Check Out This Other Capper's Pick on Tonight's Rockets/Suns

Houston Rockets
The Rockets are getting on a roll again and will be full of confidence heading into tonight's game. They've won three straight games, beating the Clippers, Magic and Nuggets along the way to improve to 46-22 overall on the season. Houston looks to be a real contender in the loaded Western Conference.

We last saw the Rockets take the court on Thursday in a home win over Denver. It was the James Harden show from the get go, and he ended up pouring in a career-high 50 points on 12-of-27 shooting. Oh, and he also had 10 rebounds, four assists and a steal for good measure. Considering Houston shot 44.6 percent from the field overall, who knows what would have happened if Harden didn't go off. He carried them on his back in this one.

Even better for the Rockets? Dwight Howard is getting closer to a return, and that's going to make this team even scarier and more difficult for the rest of the league to contend with. With that Harden/Howard combination and a ton of depth, no one is going to want to face Houston come playoff time.

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Phoenix Suns
Having won three of their last four, the Suns have built up a little momentum, which will certainly come in handy against the surging Rockets tonight. During the run however, Phoenix has beaten the Timberwolves, Knicks and Pelicans (without Anthony Davis), so it's not like they've been getting it done against the best competition. 

Overall the Suns are sitting at 36-33, which puts them three games behind Oklahoma City for the eighth and final playoff spot. It's not looking good for Phoenix, even with the Thunder missing Kevin Durant and New Orleans (in ninth place) having a banged up Davis and Tyreke Evans. The Suns need to go on a heater to close out the regular season if they want to make the postseason.

We're not too confident about Eric Bledsoe and company's chances tonight, however, as Phoenix is just 15-18 on the road this season. They've also lost all three meetings with Houston this season, which doesn't bode well for their chances here. 

Don't Want to Read Pick by Pick? Here's Our Daily Summary for Tonight's Games!

NBA Pick
We have a hard time fading Harden and the Rockets at home, and so we feel confident in taking them to win by at least nine points tonight. We also have a lean on the OVER, but we feel better about Houston against the spread.

Phoenix has been turning it around a little recently, but we're still not entirely convinced that they have the necessary pieces to contend with this high-powered Rockets squad.

It may seem like a large spread to contend with, but we like Houston's chances of running away with this one in what should be a shootout. The Rockets have a lot more firepower within their rotation and have depth on their side too, so don't hesitate to add Houston to your collection of NBA Picks.

Pick: Houston Rockets -8 at 5Dimes.

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