Cold Shooting in Warriors vs. Kings: GS & 'Under' The Winning NBA Picks

Darin Zank

Saturday, November 7, 2015 8:45 PM GMT

Golden State is rolling already this season, while the Kings is reeling without its best player. Thirteen points might seem like a lot on the NBA odds, but GS is capable of almost anything. 

Warriors-Kings Betting Odds
Saturday's NBA odds market opened Golden State at right around -12.5 for this game, with a total of around 218. In the early action most books bumped the Warriors to -13 and -14.

Anyone interested in throwing some cash to the wind could get Sacramento at +1100 on the NBA moneyline at 5Dimes.

The Situation
Defending NBA champion Golden State remained the only undefeated team in the league this season with a 119-104 win over Denver Friday night. The Warriors led by 17 after one quarter and 30 at the half, but as often happens in the NBA big leads dwindle, and Golden State allowed the Nuggets to pull within 10 points with about four minutes to go in the game, costing its backers the cash as a 17-point home favorite.

The sharpshooting Warriors shot 50 percent from the floor Friday, and hit 17-of-37 shots from 3-point range.

But perhaps the point-spreads are catching up with Golden State; after covering their first four games this season, the Warriors have lost their last two ATS, including a four-point victory over the Clippers Wednesday as seven-point favorites.

Sacramento, meanwhile, has lost four games in a row SU, three in a row ATS, after losing at home to Houston Friday night 116-110. The Kings, playing their third game in a row without C DeMarcus Cousins, fell down by 15 points in the first quarter and never led after that. They pulled to within a bucket a few times, the last early in the fourth quarter, but couldn't get over the hump.

On the night Sacramento shot 43 percent from the floor, and just nine-for-28 from long range, while allowing the Rockets to shoot 49 percent from the floor, including 15-for-36 from 3-point land.

Just before that the Kings lost at Phoenix 118-97, whiffing ATS as nine-point dogs, and just before that they lost to Memphis 103-89 as four-point home dogs. So Sacramento is 0-3 both SU and ATS since Cousins went down.

 

Warriors-Kings Recent Rivalry
Golden State has beaten Sacramento eight times in a row, covering the last six in a row ATS, including a four-game sweep of the season series last year. The Warriors won those four meetings by an average of 22 points per, covering at -4, -11, -15 and -10.

Also, the totals split 2-2 in those four games, which averaged 213 points.

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Totals Trends
Golden State is 3-3 on the totals this season, even though Warriors games have averaged 216 points. Obviously, oddsmakers are posting some large totals on Golden State games.

Sacramento is 5-1 on the OVERS, as Kings games have averaged almost 220 points.

 

Injury Update
Cousins is down with a tweaked Achilles, and will not play tonight. Sacramento is 6-20 in its last 26 games without him.

Meanwhile, Golden State C Andrew Bogut has missed recent action because of a concussion, but word is he could play tonight. Then again, he might just get in the way.

 

Warriors-Kings Free NBA Picks
There's not much doubt as to the winner of this game, it's just a matter of the final margins. Last year Golden State beat Sacramento four times by an average of 22 points per, and Cousins played in those games. And while 13 points might seem like a lot for an NBA line, it might actually be a bargain, considering what this spread might be if this game were being played in Oakland. So we'll give the points with the Warriors here. Also, both teams are playing for the second straight night, so perhaps fatigue will lead to a little colder shooting.

NBA Picks: Golden State -13 (-110) at Pinnacle and UNDER 219 at Youwager.

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