Clippers Trade Harris, Gain NBA Betting Value Over Pacers

Wednesday, February 6, 2019 8:25 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2019 8:25 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Clippers may have downsized, but that should make them a better NBA pick for Thursday’s game against the Indiana Pacers.

Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record: 12-9 ATS, 0-1 ML (minus-1.15 units), 15-6 Totals

L.A. Clippers (30-25 SU and ATS) at Indiana (35-19 SU, 27-27 ATS)Thursday, 7 p.m. ETFree NBA Pick: Clippers ATSBest Line Offered: BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569545, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,238,999991,93], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

So it has come down to this: the Philadelphia 76ers got wrecked by the Toronto Raptors Tuesday night, and they reacted hours later by pulling off a major deal with the Los Angeles Clippers. It will make the Sixers more competitive in the Eastern Conference – but at what cost? And the Clippers have compromised their current playoff push in hopes of a better future. Was it the right choice?

There is something to be said for delayed gratification. The Clippers didn’t empty the cupboard with this overnight deal; in fact, should might have an even better chance to beat the NBA odds when they visit the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. To the Pickmobile!

ShamWow

Here are the deets for L.A.’s nocturnal transaction:

To Los Angeles: SG Landry Shamet, PF Mike Muscala, PF Wilson Chandler, four draft picks
To Philadelphia: SF Tobias Harris, PF Mike Scott, C Boban Marjanovic

Harris (plus-1.6 BPM) is the centerpiece of this deal, but from an efficiency standpoint, Marjanovich (plus-1.8 BPM) actually provides more oomph per minute. Sadly, our main man had fallen out of the Clippers rotation for whatever reason. Shamet (minus-1.5 BPM) was Philly’s No. 26-overall pick in 2018, and has quietly established himself as an offensive threat, posting a mighty 129 offensive rating in January compared to 119 for Harris. Well now.

Meanwhile, Chandler (minus-0.1 BPM) is injured and might get flipped somewhere else, and Scott (minus-2.1 BPM) is a less efficient version of Muscala (minus-0.6 BPM). All told, the Clippers don’t really lose much here, but they do gain two first-rounders and two second-rounders, and they should gain betting value for Thursday’s matchup, now that they’ve traded their top scorer in terms of raw points – that’s Harris at 20.9 points per game.

Tyreke of Heinosity

In theory, Indiana also should have more value after losing their top raw scorer, Victor Oladipo (18.8 points per game), to a ruptured quad tendon. But in their seven games since that nasty injury, the Pacers are 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS. In this case, the difference between Oladipo (plus-2.3 BPM) and back-up SG Tyreke Evans (minus-2.9 BPM) is quite noticeable; Evans isn’t playing nearly as well as last year, when he posted a career-best plus-3.6 BPM with the Memphis Grizzlies and earned a new lease on NBA life.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Tyreke is back in the #hellomoto starting lineup tonight:@Darren_Collison @TyrekeEvans @44Bojan @yungsmoove21 @Original_Turner pic.twitter.com/VzV9BoOfar

— Indiana Pacers (@Pacers) February 5, 2019
\n\n"}[/]

We can’t say for sure at press time whether the new Clippers will make it to Indianapolis for Thursday – if they don’t, you might want to put the "under" in your NBA picks instead. That was the right call for both teams involved in last week’s Kristaps Porzingis trade just after it went down. But Los Angeles have plenty of depth to get them through in the interim. Somewhere, Donald Sterling is rolling over in his fancy grave.

comment here