Playing NBA totals on Monday? Well, check out these situations regarding three games on the busy schedule before buying that ticket at SBR Forum's top sportsbooks. It will do you good.
In 2016-17, the Trail Blazers have not performed well off games where the defense melted late. Portland allowed the Celtics and Mavs to combine for 74 fourth-quarter points in its last two contests; 65 was the highest prior to this. When gifting 55 or more combined in the final quarters in its last two played, Portland is 3-14 ATS the following game, falling to the number by 8.5 points per contest. Defense is again the issue. Opponents average 6.5 points more than projected next time out. Maybe rest will help. The Trail Blazers enter with three days off, a first in this spot. The Hawks, meanwhile, have covered their team total in seven of its last eight games on the road when the total is higher than the near-NBA average of 208 points. 'Over' Atlanta's team total presents value. If unavailable, consider 'over' the game total if convinced Portland keeps it competitive.
Look 'Under' When Indy Hosts NBA Elite
The Pacers are a different beast at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, going 20-8 SU vs. 9-17 SU on the road. Their offense is much more efficient, scoring 109.6 points per 100 possessions vs. 106.0 away from home. When good teams come to town, the unit tends to fall flat. Couple that with a consistent defense, and the 'under' has been a cash cow when teams like the Spurs visit. When opponents with a winning percentage of 57 percent or better tip off in Indy, the 'under' is 8-2. The Pacers put up only 101.5 points per game as opposed to 109.2 against lesser foes
Let's look at Indy's offense as integral to the total another way: the O/U is 4-13 when the Pacers score fewer than 115 points at home. Games are staying nearly 13.5 points below an average 210.6 total. Not including their Sunday showdown with the Knicks, the Spurs have allowed one team to score more than 115 points all season on the road in regulation time, gifting 119 to the Pelicans on Jan. 27. The 209.5 NBA betting opener for this meeting, despite a tad lower than usual, still presents plenty of wiggle room for an 'under' ticket.
Hornets Totals Market Is Buggin'
Charlotte has failed to cover its team total on NBA picks in eight of it last nine at The Hive. As expected, the 'under' has hit in each as well (8-1). What's intriguing with this trend is that the combined score is virtually identical to its games prior. Charlotte averaged a 105.3 to 102.0 game score in its first 19 home games, while posting a 105.3 to 102.2 average in the last nine home contests. What's the deal?The market has over-adjusted big time. The average game total for the former is 203.3, while games are going off at 216.9 during the latter. Of course, the Hornets have hosted some high-flying Western teams in this span, including the Warriors, Rockets and Trail Blazers. For what it's worth, those three games stayed south of the number by a sum of 70 points. The 212 opener against the Sixers appears a tad high despite some correction.