Chalky Sunday with Raptors and Pelicans Set to Cash

hornets raptors

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, March 4, 2018 3:31 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 4, 2018 3:31 PM UTC

By the Numbers is a weekly column that focuses on historical trends, game-time matchups and the prevailing odds to deliver one or two top NBA picks each Sunday. Let’s see what March 4 has in store for us on today’s NBA card.

NBA: Sunday By The NumbersHornets vs. RaptorsFree NBA Pick: Raptors -8Best Line Offered: Youwager

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What's Trending

Charlotte (28-35 SU, 25-34-4 ATS) is 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.

Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.

Charlotte is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Toronto (44-17 SU, 35-26 ATS) is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

Toronto is 4-0 ATS in their last four home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

Toronto is 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games.

Analysis

On paper this appears to be the biggest mismatch on the board. We believe the final result will bear that out as the Toronto Raptors have ripped through their homestretch schedule by winning 10 of their last 11 and covering on the NBA odds board in all but two of those contests. Conversely, the Charlotte Hornets are slowly drifting out of playoff contention by going 5-6 straight up and 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games. Charlotte has lost and failed to cover the number in their last two by falling 134-106 and 110-99 to Boston and Philadelphia, respectively.

It should be noted that rookie forward OG Anunoby will be out for Toronto with an ankle injury and the void will have to be filled by Norman Powell and Malcolm Miller. Nevertheless, the Raptors prevailed 102-95 over the Wizards as three-point road chalk despite his absence on Friday night.

Toronto has breezed through Charlotte in their three previous meetings, winning by an average of 17 points and covering in all three contests. Although the line is bigger than it was the last time they met in Toronto on November 29 when the home team was installed as seven-point favorites, the result should be the same as that 126-113 outcome. Back the Raps in your NBA picks tonight.

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Livin life above the rim.

Check out the best dunks from February. @BICRazors pic.twitter.com/CQH0kEJEeA

— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) March 3, 2018
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Pelicans vs. MavericksFree NBA Pick: Pelicans -3½Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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What's Trending

Dallas (19-44 SU, 32-31 ATS) is 3-9 ATS after a non-conference game.

Dallas is 15-17 ATS in home games this season.

New Orleans (35-26 SU, 33-28 ATS) is 6-1 ATS in their last seven after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

New Orleans is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine Sunday games.

New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400.

Analysis

The Pelicans have reeled off seven straight wins and covered the number in six, while the Mavericks are playing out the string in what has been a miserable season on and off the court. Dallas owner Mark Cuban’s “tanking” remarks have gotten him in a lot of hot water with the league and did not sit well with his players.

Dallas is 1-6 straight up over their past seven yet has covered the spread on the NBA odds board in four of those games. These clubs have split the season series, with New Orleans winning 99-94 as 4½-point road favorites in November and then falling 128-120 in late December as 6½-point home chalk. That stunning upset makes this a revenge game for the Pelicans, and although they will be without DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) for the remainder of the season, his absence has only lifted All-Star forward Anthony Davis to newer and greater heights.

The 24-year-old Davis was named February Player of the Month and with good reason as evidenced by his 35 points, 13.0 rebounds, 2.5 steals, and 2.2 blocks average during that month. Over that time he scored at least 40 points with at least 10 boards on five separate occasions and became the first player since Moses Malone in 1982 to average 35 points and 10 rebounds for an entire month. The Pelicans are on a roll with revenge on their minds as well as jockeying for the third seed in the West. With your NBA picks, lay the points with the boys from the Bayou.

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