Celtics vs. Pistons NBA Picks: Small Favorite Deserving of Your Cash Tonight

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, April 8, 2015 1:03 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 8, 2015 1:03 PM GMT

As we prepare our NBA pick for tonight, we wonder if Boston will continue to stave off Miami, Indiana, and Charlotte for the final playoff spot in the East or will the Pistons play the role of a spoiler?

Pistons attempt to play Spoiler versus Celtics
The Detroit Pistons will entertain the Boston Celtics on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. According to the NBA odds at Bookmaker, Detroit is a 1.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 200.5. This will be the third meeting of the season between these Eastern Conference rivals, and the home team has won each of the first two games. Both of those contests went over the total.

Check out another capper's pick for Celtics/Pistons in our NBA Picks of the Day

Stellar recent Home and Away Dichotomies
Something has to give in tonight’s game considering each team’s home and away performances of late. The Boston Celtics enter tonight’s game having won four straight, and seven of their previous ten road games. The Detroit Pistons have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous five at home, and won those contests by an average 8.2 points per game.

 

Celtics Playoff Hopes hanging in the Balance
The Boston Celtics are currently holding down the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. However, their cushion is tenuous to say the least. They hold a one half game lead over Miami, but do have one game in hand on the Heat. They also lead the Indiana Pacers by one full game and the Charlotte Hornets by one and a half games. Boston has three road games and two remaining at home to close their regular season schedule.

 

NBA Betting Angle
The Boston Celtics are averaging 101.1 points per game this season. Boston has allowed 110-points or more in each of their previous two games. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 99.5 points per game during the 2014-2015 NBA campaign. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which I’ll utilize when making my NBA picks on Wednesday.

Any road team (Boston) that’s a favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less, averaging 98 to 102-points per game, and allowed 100-points or more in each of their last two games, versus an opponent allowing 98 to 102-points per game, has seen that road team go 28-5 SU&ATS (84.8%) since 1996. The road team had a sizable +8.2 point per game differential in those thirty-three contests, and they covered by 7.0 points or more on 68.8% of those occasions.

NBA Picks: Play on Boston -1 at 5Dimes

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