Celtics Live Road Dogs Against Bucks in Game 3 on Friday

celtics bucks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, April 19, 2018 2:28 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 19, 2018 2:28 PM UTC

Boston takes a commanding 2-0 series lead into Friday's game in Milwaukee. Let’s check out the NBA odds and get on the winning side in this Eastern Conference rivalry.

NBA Friday: By The NumbersCeltics (57-27 SU, 50-30-4 ATS) vs. Bucks (44-40 SU, 35-44-5 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Celtics +6½Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix

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What's Trending
  • Milwaukee is 5-9 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more.
  • Milwaukee is 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
  • Milwaukee is 13-25 ATS in home games.
  • Boston is 9-2 ATS after three or more consecutive "overs."
  • Boston is 12-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.
  • Boston is 19-8 ATS after three or more consecutive wins.

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.@FCHWPO is in good company.#CUsRise pic.twitter.com/JEr0UZMes7

— Boston Celtics (@celtics) April 19, 2018
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Game Analysis

After a gritty 113-107 overtime win in the opening game of the series, the Boston Celtics left no question that this young team can handle the load without superstar Kyrie Irving in uniform. When the final buzzer sounded in Game 2, Boston left with a dominating 120-106 victory in hand. The Celtics set the pace from the onset, outscoring the Bucks 33-22 in the first quarter and the young guns stepped up to the plate with second-year man Jaylen Brown adding a playoff career-high 30 points, and at age 21 became the youngest player in franchise history to score 30 or more in a postseason contest, while Irving’s understudy, Terry Rozier, continued to impress with 23 points and his second consecutive game without a turnover.

And speaking of turnovers, the Bucks have had their fair share in this series. In their Tuesday night loss, Milwaukee had 15 versus turnovers to just seven for Boston and have now turned the ball over 35 times in just two games. The only silver lining for Milwaukee was the continued success of superstar power forward Giannis Antetokounmpo, who bucketed 30 points and nine rebounds. The Greek Freak has now scored at least 20 points in nine straight games versus Boston but his efforts have gone unrewarded. The only other Milwaukee player contributing in this series is Khris Middleton, who added 25 points in the loss.

I’m normally pretty good, as is any seasoned sports bettor, about predicting point spreads. However, a quick check of the NBA odds board revealed that the Celtics, a team that absolutely eviscerated the Bucks in the last game, are getting 6½ points. Now, I understand that one game does not a series make and each time the teams take the court it’s all shiny and new. The venue has shifted to Milwaukee so one would expect they would be favored, but giving this supremely confident Celtics team a 6½-point head start has me scratching my head. And to add to that, consider that Boston is 4-1 against the spread versus the Bucks in the last five games played in Milwaukee.

The bottom line in this game is that the Bucks are a two-man band with Antetokounmpo and Middleton as the only members contributing. Now counter that with the sterling efforts of the Green’s starting five and the contributions from the bench, outscoring Milwaukee’s backups 41-25 in Tuesday night’s win. Even Boston’s Marcus Morris came off the bench to knock down 18 points. I wouldn’t be surprised if Boston won this game outright, but we will gladly take the points as the Bucks are just 13-25 ATS at home this season while Boston is 27-13 ATS on the highway. Back Boston in your NBA picks on Friday night.

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