Celtics-Hawks & Heat-Warriors to Both Stay Under Total

Charles Stark

Monday, November 6, 2017 3:08 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 6, 2017 3:08 PM UTC

The NBA is well into the season now, and Monday we’re going to look at the totals in two matchups when Boston visits Atlanta, and the league’s best Golden State Warriors host the Miami Heat.

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

At first glance this total seems quite low considering the high-scoring affairs we have seen for the most part this season. However, on closer look and with both of these teams coming off a back-to-back, for my NBA pick I’m going to back 'under' the total. Neither team has been lighting it up so far this season with Boston shooting 44.2% from the floor and Atlanta shooting 43.1%, ranking them 21st and 26th in the league, respectively.

As well, neither team is pushing a ton of tempo with Boston ranking in the bottom five of the league in averaging just 83.4 attempts per game and Atlanta hovering in the middle at 86.8. What could get this to 'over' the total is the fact that Atlanta allows teams to get up-and-down quite a bit, but when we start taking a dive into their defensive statistics I like for both these teams to get enough stops. Atlanta has not been great on the year but where they matchup with Boston well is their defense from beyond the arc allowing just 34.8% from distance, which ranks them 12th. This will be a point of contention tonight as the Celtics shoot 37.3% from distance, which ranks in the Top 10.

Free NBA Pick: Under 205Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors

Can odds makers make a total high enough for the Warriors?  They have been scoring points at an incredible rate so far this season and they lead the NBA averaging 120.7 points per game. After a little bit of a slow start they have now picked up where they left off last year and rank first in most offensive categories from shooting percentage to shooting efficiency to field goals made per game. Miami has not been bad in scoring the basketball, either, in shooting 46.4% from the floo,r which ranks them ninth in the NBA and averaging 39.8 field goals made per game, which ranks them 10th. 

With all that being said, though, for my NBA pick I’m going to back 'under' the total because I don’t believe the pace will be fast enough for these teams to get to this incredibly high total.   Both teams are averaging fewer than 86 attempts per game from the floor, ranking them in the bottom half of the league. And on the defensive side of the ball both these teams have been solid with Golden State allowing opponents to shoot just 44.7% from the floor and Miami ranking first in the NBA in opponent 3-pointers attempted per game. 

Free NBA Pick: Under 226Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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