Celtics +10.5 vs. Mavericks for NBA Picks

Monday, March 17, 2014 3:50 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 17, 2014 3:50 PM UTC

A night after both teams played, the Celtics and Mavs hook up from Dallas in one of only two inter-conference games tonight. Lets find out what the NBA odds makers have to say about tonight's showdown.
<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"></span></p> <p>The NBA Odds have the Mavs as huge -10 ½ favorites after their big win last night, but are the Celtics undervalued as double digit dogs?</p> <p style="text-align:center"><em>Let our <a target="_blank" title="CHeck out Monday's NBA Picks of the Day" href="/nba-basketball/free-picks/valuable-nba-picks-monday-night-a-38166/">NBA Picks of the Day</a> point you in the right direction.</em></p> <p><b>Likely Rondo-less</b></p> <p>With Boston having played last night, the custom this season since he has returned is to sit Rajon Rondo. With the C’s best player likely on the sidelines in a suit and tie tonight, the Celtics are going to have to get production from a lot of different people. However while it will be difficult to replace Rondo on both ends of the floor, the C’s are double-digit underdogs here against a team playing on no rest.<span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>They are also double digit underdogs to a team that just had their best win of the season, something that could affect them tonight. One look at the <a target="_blank" title="Should the Celtics deal Rondo?" href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/2809052-reports-release-rondo-rumoured-raptors.html">Celtics without Rondo</a> (nothing has been confirmed but it seems almost a definite at this point that he sits) and the Mavs might just overlook them after that first glance. The Celtics are still dangerous enough to cover a +10 ½ point spread even without their star point guard.</p> <p>[gameodds]5/258935/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]</p> <p><b>The Sharp Pick</b></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">The Celtics are 11-6 ATS this season playing on no rest, and even though their youth hasn’t served them well this season, it has served them when they play on consecutive nights. One of the reasons they have been good on no rest is the books undervalue them, and they are doing it once again with this spread.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">The Mavs played last night as well, and after <a target="_blank" title="Review our picks from yesterday's game" href="/nba-basketball/free-picks/bet-thunder-cover-home-vs-mavericks-a-38156/">beating the Oklahoma City Thunder by more than 20 points</a>, having to travel back home and cover a double digit spread against anyone is tough. Almost all of the starters for Dallas still played 30 minutes last night in the blowout, and at this point in the season, that is significant. I see a let down game for the Mavs tonight, and it’s why I like the C’s even if Rondo sits out.</span><span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>Since Rondo returned earlier this season, the Celtics have been playing well ATS. On nights where the C’s are playing without Rondo, and he played the night before, the Celtics are still 3-2 ATS.<span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p>Tonight’s game should be pretty up in tempo, but I don’t see the Mavs running away with this one, even though they hit the Thunder square in the mouth last night. Dallas is outstanding at home, but not many teams can beat the Thunder by 20 and turn around the next night and do basically the same thing.</p> <p>I think the sportsbooks are taking advantage of the big win the Mavs had and they are <a title="Follow Live NBA Odds &amp; Betting Lines" href="/betting-odds/nba-basketball/">inflating their line from what it should be</a>. I do think the Mavs will win this game somewhat easily, but Boston is still good enough to cover the spread without Rondo. This season, Boston has gone 18-14 ATS on the road, and while this play is far from a lock, on a short card, I do think it’s one of the top five plays of the evening.<span style="font-size:1em"> </span></p> <p><b>My Pick: </b>Celtics +10 ½ </p>
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